TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094072
Played Sep 7Finished
Sergii Sideltsev
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012911611––––
Ihor Dubinin
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingSergii Sideltsev above · Ihor Dubinin below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 59 set 3, 6-11
59 points played in total.
H2H Sergii Sideltsev 6–16 Ihor Dubinin Sergii Sideltsev has won 6 of their 22 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Dubinin beat Sideltsev 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Dubinin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dubinin form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSideltsev 2.63 / Dubinin 1.44
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Dubinin)-3.2pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13094072
Sideltsev2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 32 of 73
Down 0–1, comes back19% 7 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 25
Dubinin1.44
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite71% won 52 of 73
Up 2–0, closes it88% 21 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it85% 40 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSideltsev5wins
AwayDubinin5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSideltsev60%3 of 5
AwayDubinin60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sideltsev5Dubinin5n = 10split evenly
S2Sideltsev5Dubinin5n = 10split evenly
S3Sideltsev7Dubinin3n = 10Sideltsev took 7 of 10
S4Sideltsev5Dubinin4n = 9Sideltsev took 5 of 9
S5Sideltsev1Dubinin3n = 4Dubinin took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSideltsevDubininS − DBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.339.7−0.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSideltsevDubininBasisWin rate · lifetime245 / 417 vs 227 / 44858.8%50.7%245 / 417 vs 227 / 448Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DubininSideltsev 2.63/Dubinin 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.3%
Dubinin · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Dubinin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 12:00S. Sideltsev—91111682I. Dubinin—114511113
LAug 30 · 15:00S. Sideltsev—111031162I. Dubinin—812113113
WAug 24 · 16:00S. Sideltsev—1111133I. Dubinin—87110
WAug 6 · 13:00S. Sideltsev—101111113I. Dubinin—129491
WAug 4 · 15:00S. Sideltsev—891111113I. Dubinin—11116392
LJul 18 · 12:30S. Sideltsev—61211642I. Dubinin—1110811113
WJul 5 · 17:34S. Sideltsev—14711113I. Dubinin—1211951
WJul 5 · 16:30S. Sideltsev—11115123I. Dubinin—9711101
LJun 2 · 17:03S. Sideltsev—631261I. Dubinin—111110113
LJun 2 · 16:00S. Sideltsev—117491I. Dubinin—91111113
S. Sideltsev10
WSep 7 · 16:00I. Sorochan3.0010630S. Sideltsev1.361211113LSep 7 · 14:30N. Priadko3.2511111113S. Sideltsev1.33891171WSep 7 · 13:00S. Honcharenko4.3313513842S. Sideltsev1.2011111111113LSep 7 · 12:00I. Dubinin2.10114511113S. Sideltsev1.6791111682LSep 5 · 09:58O. Torianyk1.501111113S. Sideltsev2.508980LSep 5 · 09:00S. Sideltsev2.2010940O. Torianyk1.611211113WSep 5 · 08:00D. Tsys1.444111071S. Sideltsev2.6311512113WSep 5 · 07:00N. Priadko3.4011711642S. Sideltsev1.30611911113LSep 5 · 05:30M. Pohorilyi1.571113113S. Sideltsev2.2591160WSep 3 · 17:03R. Hryhoriev2.63951121S. Sideltsev1.4411118113
I. Dubinin10
LSep 7 · 16:30S. Honcharenko3.251151112113I. Dubinin1.3351161492WSep 7 · 15:00I. Dubinin1.8091411113I. Sorochan1.911112591LSep 7 · 13:30I. Dubinin1.83114891N. Priadko1.8381111113WSep 7 · 12:00I. Dubinin2.10114511113S. Sideltsev1.6791111682LSep 4 · 16:30M. Pohorilyi1.40119116113I. Dubinin2.7551151162LSep 4 · 15:00I. Dubinin2.6368100D. Tsys1.441111123LSep 4 · 13:30I. Dubinin3.406760O. Torianyk1.301111113LSep 4 · 12:00I. Dubinin2.1010350V. Simchuk1.671211113WSep 1 · 17:38N. Priadko1.80691181I. Dubinin1.9111118113LSep 1 · 16:30M. Pohorilyi1.4071711113I. Dubinin2.751115781
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