TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136472
Played Sep 16Finished
Mykola Zavoloka
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1181169116111210
Viacheslav Simchuk
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:44 and never touched — 68.8% is still 68.8%
Graded at full timeViacheslav Simchuk to win
68.8%
68.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMykola Zavoloka above · Viacheslav Simchuk below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 95 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Viacheslav Simchuk at 68.8%
95 points played in total.
H2H Mykola Zavoloka 0–2 Viacheslav Simchuk Mykola Zavoloka has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:44What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Simchuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Zavoloka 1293 vs Simchuk 1339
Simchuk
Wrong
both rated, 45 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zavoloka 60% vs Simchuk 20%
Zavoloka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zavoloka 50% vs Simchuk 30%
Zavoloka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zavoloka +1 · Simchuk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Simchuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Simchuk form (20%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZavoloka 3.00 / Simchuk 1.36
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Simchuk)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13136472
Zavoloka3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog50% won 7 of 14
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 6
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Simchuk1.36
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite72% won 101 of 141
Up 2–0, closes it98% 51 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it92% 72 of 78
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeZavoloka0wins
AwaySimchuk2wins
Simchuk leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricZavolokaSimchukZ − SBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match24.539.0−14.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZavolokaSimchukBasisWin rate · lifetime41 / 67 vs 277 / 45961.2%60.4%41 / 67 vs 277 / 459Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SimchukZavoloka 3.00/Simchuk 1.36
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.8%
Simchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Zavoloka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 23 · 16:30M. Zavoloka31281561V. Simchuk45111113103
LJul 7 · 08:30M. Zavoloka184950V. Simchuk331111113
M. Zavoloka10
WSep 16 · 06:30O. Badanin2.63511111132M. Zavoloka1.44119713113WSep 15 · 09:58S. Honcharenko2.3852110M. Zavoloka1.531111133LSep 15 · 09:30Y. Zvolynskyi2.001111153M. Zavoloka1.7388130WSep 15 · 08:00M. Zavoloka1.501112113V. Matviichuk2.5091070WSep 15 · 06:30M. Zavoloka1.831211113S. Honcharenko1.8310980LSep 15 · 05:00M. Zavoloka2.2011721121P. Shulhachyk1.61131119143WSep 9 · 09:30Y. Zvolynskyi2.1071111872M. Zavoloka1.67113711113LSep 9 · 08:00M. Zavoloka1.5041280S. Honcharenko2.501114113LSep 9 · 06:30M. Zavoloka1.8358111182I. Sorochan1.83111189113LSep 9 · 05:00M. Zavoloka1.8061111662V. Kurliuk1.91115911113
V. Simchuk10
WSep 11 · 08:30N. Priadko2.2551181442V. Simchuk1.57119111263LSep 11 · 07:30V. Simchuk1.67811561S. Honcharenko2.1011311113LSep 11 · 06:30M. Pohorilyi1.53129122113V. Simchuk2.381011101192LSep 11 · 05:30V. Simchuk2.63851171S. Sideltsev1.4411118113LSep 10 · 17:33V. Simchuk2.359111031M. Pohorilyi1.5211712113WSep 10 · 16:00Y. Zvolynskyi3.40612891V. Simchuk1.30111011113WSep 10 · 14:30R. Hryhoriev2.00661181V. Simchuk1.7311115113LSep 10 · 13:00M. Pohorilyi1.5312113123V. Simchuk2.3810911101LSep 10 · 12:00I. Dubinin2.00611611123V. Simchuk1.73119119102LSep 4 · 17:19V. Simchuk3.401186101O. Torianyk1.2571111123
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