TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105605
Played Sep 10Finished
Roman Hryhoriev
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611611115811––
Viacheslav Simchuk
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:13 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeViacheslav Simchuk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Hryhoriev above · Viacheslav Simchuk below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 69 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Viacheslav Simchuk at 54.0%
69 points played in total.
H2H Roman Hryhoriev 2–2 Viacheslav Simchuk Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:13What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Simchuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hryhoriev 1380 vs Simchuk 1340
Hryhoriev
Wrong
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hryhoriev 60% vs Simchuk 0%
Hryhoriev
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hryhoriev 60% vs Simchuk 20%
Hryhoriev
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hryhoriev +2 · Simchuk -5
Simchuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Simchuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Simchuk form (0%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHryhoriev 2.00 / Simchuk 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Simchuk)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13105605
Hryhoriev2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog25% won 10 of 40
Down 0–1, comes back19% 5 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 20
Simchuk1.73
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite72% won 103 of 143
Up 2–0, closes it96% 52 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it92% 72 of 78
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeHryhoriev2wins
AwaySimchuk2wins
3 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 3 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHryhoriev66.7%2 of 3
AwaySimchukn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hryhoriev3Simchuk1n = 4Hryhoriev took 3 of 4
S2Hryhoriev1Simchuk3n = 4Simchuk took 3 of 4
S3Hryhoriev2Simchuk2n = 4split evenly
S4Hryhoriev3Simchuk1n = 4Hryhoriev took 3 of 4
S5Hryhoriev1Simchuk2n = 3Simchuk took 2 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away250%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricHryhorievSimchukH − SBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match48.044.8+3.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHryhorievSimchukBasisWin rate · lifetime122 / 255 vs 275 / 45347.8%60.7%122 / 255 vs 275 / 453Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SimchukHryhoriev 2.00/Simchuk 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Simchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Simchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 17 · 12:30R. Hryhoriev—119119102V. Simchuk—711511123
LJun 25 · 16:00R. Hryhoriev—71161172V. Simchuk—119118113
WApr 7 · 14:30R. Hryhoriev—1113911123V. Simchuk—915119102
WMar 16 · 13:00R. Hryhoriev—11913113V. Simchuk—3111141
R. Hryhoriev10
WSep 10 · 13:30I. Dubinin1.801441361R. Hryhoriev1.91121115113WSep 10 · 12:30R. Hryhoriev1.3613911203Y. Zvolynskyi3.0011119181LSep 3 · 17:03R. Hryhoriev2.63951121S. Sideltsev1.4411118113LSep 3 · 16:00S. Sideltsev1.83111113113R. Hryhoriev1.831391191WSep 3 · 14:30O. Levytskyi3.5091261192R. Hryhoriev1.281110119113WSep 3 · 13:00R. Sveshnykov2.10117451R. Hryhoriev1.6731111113WSep 3 · 12:00N. Priadko1.91148551R. Hryhoriev1.80121111113LSep 1 · 15:30M. Pohorilyi1.501113113R. Hryhoriev2.5071170WSep 1 · 14:30R. Hryhoriev2.381111113N. Priadko1.535580LSep 1 · 13:30I. Dubinin1.801111183R. Hryhoriev1.9139160
V. Simchuk10
LSep 10 · 13:00M. Pohorilyi1.5312113123V. Simchuk2.3810911101LSep 10 · 12:00I. Dubinin2.00611611123V. Simchuk1.73119119102LSep 4 · 17:19V. Simchuk3.401186101O. Torianyk1.2571111123LSep 4 · 16:00D. Tsys1.571111113V. Simchuk2.258470LSep 4 · 14:30O. Torianyk1.301111113V. Simchuk3.406990LSep 4 · 13:00M. Pohorilyi1.578111211113V. Simchuk2.25111310722WSep 4 · 12:00I. Dubinin2.1010350V. Simchuk1.671211113LAug 30 · 17:14S. Sideltsev1.101411103V. Simchuk6.5012780WAug 30 · 15:30I. Sorochan1.834980V. Simchuk1.831111113LAug 30 · 14:30V. Simchuk1.2865111192Y. Zvolynskyi3.50111178103
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