TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13110762
Played Sep 10Finished
Viacheslav Simchuk
Home
2.35
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9111171012311––
Mykola Pohorilyi
Away
1.52
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingViacheslav Simchuk above · Mykola Pohorilyi below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 74 set 4, 3-11
74 points played in total.
H2H Viacheslav Simchuk 16–21 Mykola Pohorilyi Viacheslav Simchuk has won 16 of their 37 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Pohorilyi beat Simchuk 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Pohorilyi)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSimchuk 2.35 / Pohorilyi 1.52
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Pohorilyi)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13110762
Simchuk2.35
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 26 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back15% 5 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 25
Pohorilyi1.52
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite69% won 123 of 179
Up 2–0, closes it93% 69 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it87% 98 of 113
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSimchuk3wins
AwayPohorilyi7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPohorilyi leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSimchuk66.7%2 of 3
AwayPohorilyi85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Simchuk3Pohorilyi7n = 10Pohorilyi took 7 of 10
S2Simchuk1Pohorilyi9n = 10Pohorilyi took 9 of 10
S3Simchuk7Pohorilyi3n = 10Simchuk took 7 of 10
S4Simchuk2Pohorilyi6n = 8Pohorilyi took 6 of 8
S5Simchuk2Pohorilyi1n = 3Simchuk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSimchukPohorilyiS − PBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.039.2−5.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSimchukPohorilyiBasisWin rate · lifetime277 / 455 vs 353 / 62060.9%56.9%277 / 455 vs 353 / 620Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PohorilyiSimchuk 2.35/Pohorilyi 1.52
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.9%
Pohorilyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Pohorilyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 13:00V. Simchuk—10911101M. Pohorilyi—12113123
LSep 4 · 13:00V. Simchuk—111310722M. Pohorilyi—8111211113
WAug 18 · 08:00V. Simchuk—651111113M. Pohorilyi—11115582
LAug 17 · 17:40V. Simchuk—771151M. Pohorilyi—11117113
WAug 17 · 15:30V. Simchuk—11911113M. Pohorilyi—911481
LAug 12 · 10:38V. Simchuk—761131M. Pohorilyi—11117113
LAug 12 · 06:00V. Simchuk—651171M. Pohorilyi—11116113
LAug 11 · 08:00V. Simchuk—3590M. Pohorilyi—1111113
LAug 6 · 15:00V. Simchuk—8550M. Pohorilyi—1111113
WAug 5 · 08:00V. Simchuk—139116113M. Pohorilyi—111161152
V. Simchuk10
WSep 10 · 16:00Y. Zvolynskyi3.40612891V. Simchuk1.30111011113WSep 10 · 14:30R. Hryhoriev2.00661181V. Simchuk1.7311115113LSep 10 · 13:00M. Pohorilyi1.5312113123V. Simchuk2.3810911101LSep 10 · 12:00I. Dubinin2.00611611123V. Simchuk1.73119119102LSep 4 · 17:19V. Simchuk3.401186101O. Torianyk1.2571111123LSep 4 · 16:00D. Tsys1.571111113V. Simchuk2.258470LSep 4 · 14:30O. Torianyk1.301111113V. Simchuk3.406990LSep 4 · 13:00M. Pohorilyi1.578111211113V. Simchuk2.25111310722WSep 4 · 12:00I. Dubinin2.1010350V. Simchuk1.671211113LAug 30 · 17:14S. Sideltsev1.101411103V. Simchuk6.5012780
M. Pohorilyi10
LSep 10 · 16:30M. Pohorilyi1.366811111I. Dubinin3.0011118133WSep 10 · 15:30M. Pohorilyi1.441110511113R. Hryhoriev2.6321211882WSep 10 · 14:00M. Pohorilyi1.4411711113Y. Zvolynskyi2.63911731WSep 10 · 13:00M. Pohorilyi1.5312113123V. Simchuk2.3810911101LSep 5 · 10:31M. Pohorilyi4.05105100D. Tsys1.181211123WSep 5 · 08:30N. Priadko1.834370M. Pohorilyi1.831111113WSep 5 · 07:30M. Pohorilyi2.7511118113O. Torianyk1.40941141LSep 5 · 06:30D. Tsys1.221111113M. Pohorilyi4.006660WSep 5 · 05:30M. Pohorilyi1.571113113S. Sideltsev2.2591160WSep 4 · 13:00M. Pohorilyi1.578111211113V. Simchuk2.25111310722
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