TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105807
Played Sep 10Finished
Mykola Pohorilyi
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6118111181113––
Ihor Dubinin
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:40 and never touched — 70.4% is still 70.4%
Graded at full timeMykola Pohorilyi to win
70.4%
70.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMykola Pohorilyi above · Ihor Dubinin below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 79 set 4, 11-13 — our read held Mykola Pohorilyi at 70.4%
79 points played in total.
H2H Mykola Pohorilyi 37–24 Ihor Dubinin Ihor Dubinin has won 24 of their 61 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:40What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Pohorilyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
37-24 in 61
Pohorilyi
Wrong
gap of 13 in 61, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pohorilyi 1492 vs Dubinin 1367
Pohorilyi
Wrong
both rated, 124 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pohorilyi 80% vs Dubinin 40%
Pohorilyi
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pohorilyi 70% vs Dubinin 40%
Pohorilyi
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pohorilyi +3 · Dubinin -2
Pohorilyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Pohorilyi) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPohorilyi 1.36 / Dubinin 3.00
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Pohorilyi)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13105807
Pohorilyi1.36
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite69% won 123 of 179
Up 2–0, closes it93% 69 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it87% 98 of 113
Dubinin3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 37 of 111
Down 0–1, comes back18% 12 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePohorilyi9wins
AwayDubinin1wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPohorilyi leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePohorilyi100%8 of 8
AwayDubininn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pohorilyi8Dubinin2n = 10Pohorilyi took 8 of 10
S2Pohorilyi8Dubinin2n = 10Pohorilyi took 8 of 10
S3Pohorilyi9Dubinin1n = 10Pohorilyi took 9 of 10
S4Pohorilyi1Dubinin3n = 4Dubinin took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home660%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPohorilyiDubininP − DBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match38.529.9+8.6per matchSweeps60+63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPohorilyiDubininBasisWin rate · lifetime353 / 619 vs 227 / 44757%50.8%353 / 619 vs 227 / 447Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PohorilyiPohorilyi 1.36/Dubinin 3.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
72.4%
Pohorilyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Dubinin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 16:30M. Pohorilyi—119116113I. Dubinin—51151162
WSep 1 · 16:30M. Pohorilyi—71711113I. Dubinin—1115781
WAug 17 · 16:30M. Pohorilyi—115119113I. Dubinin—51141182
WAug 13 · 12:00M. Pohorilyi—1111123I. Dubinin—76100
WAug 6 · 12:00M. Pohorilyi—1111123I. Dubinin—35100
WAug 4 · 13:30M. Pohorilyi—1114113I. Dubinin—71280
LJul 28 · 17:28M. Pohorilyi—6118101I. Dubinin—11511123
WJul 28 · 16:30M. Pohorilyi—1111113I. Dubinin—5880
WJul 22 · 16:30M. Pohorilyi—1511113I. Dubinin—13690
WJul 18 · 17:29M. Pohorilyi—1311113I. Dubinin—11680
M. Pohorilyi10
WSep 10 · 17:33V. Simchuk2.359111031M. Pohorilyi1.5211712113WSep 10 · 15:30M. Pohorilyi1.441110511113R. Hryhoriev2.6321211882WSep 10 · 14:00M. Pohorilyi1.4411711113Y. Zvolynskyi2.63911731WSep 10 · 13:00M. Pohorilyi1.5312113123V. Simchuk2.3810911101LSep 5 · 10:31M. Pohorilyi4.05105100D. Tsys1.181211123WSep 5 · 08:30N. Priadko1.834370M. Pohorilyi1.831111113WSep 5 · 07:30M. Pohorilyi2.7511118113O. Torianyk1.40941141LSep 5 · 06:30D. Tsys1.221111113M. Pohorilyi4.006660WSep 5 · 05:30M. Pohorilyi1.571113113S. Sideltsev2.2591160LSep 4 · 17:35D. Tsys1.221211113M. Pohorilyi4.0010590
I. Dubinin10
LSep 10 · 17:10R. Hryhoriev1.85971116113I. Dubinin1.85111171492LSep 10 · 15:00I. Dubinin1.33311661Y. Zvolynskyi3.2511911113LSep 10 · 13:30I. Dubinin1.801441361R. Hryhoriev1.91121115113WSep 10 · 12:00I. Dubinin2.00611611123V. Simchuk1.73119119102WSep 7 · 17:08S. Sideltsev2.6310960I. Dubinin1.441211113LSep 7 · 16:30S. Honcharenko3.251151112113I. Dubinin1.3351161492WSep 7 · 15:00I. Dubinin1.8091411113I. Sorochan1.911112591LSep 7 · 13:30I. Dubinin1.83114891N. Priadko1.8381111113WSep 7 · 12:00I. Dubinin2.10114511113S. Sideltsev1.6791111682LSep 4 · 16:30M. Pohorilyi1.40119116113I. Dubinin2.7551151162
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