TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13110692
Played Sep 10Finished
Roman Hryhoriev
Home
1.85
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9117111171614119
Ihor Dubinin
Away
1.85
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingRoman Hryhoriev above · Ihor Dubinin below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 16-14
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 106 set 5, 11-9
106 points played in total.
H2H Roman Hryhoriev 35–39 Ihor Dubinin Roman Hryhoriev has won 35 of their 74 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Hryhoriev beat Dubinin 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dubinin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hryhoriev form (40%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHryhoriev 1.85 / Dubinin 1.85
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Dubinin)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13110692
Hryhoriev1.85
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Dubinin1.85
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHryhoriev4wins
AwayDubinin6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderDubinin leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHryhorievn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayDubinin62.5%5 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hryhoriev2Dubinin8n = 10Dubinin took 8 of 10
S2Hryhoriev4Dubinin6n = 10Dubinin took 6 of 10
S3Hryhoriev6Dubinin4n = 10Hryhoriev took 6 of 10
S4Hryhoriev3Dubinin3n = 6split evenly
S5Hryhoriev2Dubinin2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricHryhorievDubininH − DBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match35.839.7−3.9per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHryhorievDubininBasisWin rate · lifetime122 / 257 vs 228 / 44847.5%50.9%122 / 257 vs 228 / 448Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DubininHryhoriev 1.85/Dubinin 1.85
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Dubinin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hryhoriev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 13:30R. Hryhoriev—121115113I. Dubinin—1441361
LSep 1 · 13:30R. Hryhoriev—39160I. Dubinin—1111183
WAug 17 · 17:08R. Hryhoriev—1211116123I. Dubinin—148811102
LAug 17 · 15:00R. Hryhoriev—8770I. Dubinin—1111113
LJul 22 · 13:30R. Hryhoriev—11811122I. Dubinin—711511113
WJul 13 · 15:00R. Hryhoriev—811111133I. Dubinin—111164112
LJul 8 · 15:00R. Hryhoriev—51161172I. Dubinin—118117113
WJul 3 · 12:00R. Hryhoriev—1111113I. Dubinin—9880
LJun 25 · 15:00R. Hryhoriev—6511111I. Dubinin—11116133
LApr 30 · 16:00R. Hryhoriev—10770I. Dubinin—1211113
R. Hryhoriev10
LSep 10 · 15:30M. Pohorilyi1.441110511113R. Hryhoriev2.6321211882LSep 10 · 14:30R. Hryhoriev2.00661181V. Simchuk1.7311115113WSep 10 · 13:30I. Dubinin1.801441361R. Hryhoriev1.91121115113WSep 10 · 12:30R. Hryhoriev1.3613911203Y. Zvolynskyi3.0011119181LSep 3 · 17:03R. Hryhoriev2.63951121S. Sideltsev1.4411118113LSep 3 · 16:00S. Sideltsev1.83111113113R. Hryhoriev1.831391191WSep 3 · 14:30O. Levytskyi3.5091261192R. Hryhoriev1.281110119113WSep 3 · 13:00R. Sveshnykov2.10117451R. Hryhoriev1.6731111113WSep 3 · 12:00N. Priadko1.91148551R. Hryhoriev1.80121111113LSep 1 · 15:30M. Pohorilyi1.501113113R. Hryhoriev2.5071170
I. Dubinin10
WSep 10 · 16:30M. Pohorilyi1.366811111I. Dubinin3.0011118133LSep 10 · 15:00I. Dubinin1.33311661Y. Zvolynskyi3.2511911113LSep 10 · 13:30I. Dubinin1.801441361R. Hryhoriev1.91121115113WSep 10 · 12:00I. Dubinin2.00611611123V. Simchuk1.73119119102WSep 7 · 17:08S. Sideltsev2.6310960I. Dubinin1.441211113LSep 7 · 16:30S. Honcharenko3.251151112113I. Dubinin1.3351161492WSep 7 · 15:00I. Dubinin1.8091411113I. Sorochan1.911112591LSep 7 · 13:30I. Dubinin1.83114891N. Priadko1.8381111113WSep 7 · 12:00I. Dubinin2.10114511113S. Sideltsev1.6791111682LSep 4 · 16:30M. Pohorilyi1.40119116113I. Dubinin2.7551151162
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