TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105775
Played Sep 10Finished
Mykola Pohorilyi
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1121012511118118
Roman Hryhoriev
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:42 and never touched — 65.3% is still 65.3%
Graded at full timeMykola Pohorilyi to win
65.3%
65.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykola Pohorilyi above · Roman Hryhoriev below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 89 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Mykola Pohorilyi at 65.3%
89 points played in total.
H2H Mykola Pohorilyi 17–10 Roman Hryhoriev Roman Hryhoriev has won 10 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:42What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Pohorilyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-10 in 27
Pohorilyi
Correct
gap of 7 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pohorilyi 1484 vs Hryhoriev 1366
Pohorilyi
Correct
both rated, 117 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pohorilyi 80% vs Hryhoriev 40%
Pohorilyi
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pohorilyi 70% vs Hryhoriev 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pohorilyi +2 · Hryhoriev -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Pohorilyi) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pohorilyi form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPohorilyi 1.44 / Hryhoriev 2.63
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Pohorilyi)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13105775
Pohorilyi1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite69% won 123 of 179
Up 2–0, closes it93% 69 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it87% 98 of 113
Hryhoriev2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog25% won 10 of 40
Down 0–1, comes back19% 5 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePohorilyi8wins
AwayHryhoriev2wins
5 of 10 to a deciderPohorilyi leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePohorilyi83.3%5 of 6
AwayHryhoriev25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pohorilyi6Hryhoriev4n = 10Pohorilyi took 6 of 10
S2Pohorilyi7Hryhoriev3n = 10Pohorilyi took 7 of 10
S3Pohorilyi6Hryhoriev4n = 10Pohorilyi took 6 of 10
S4Pohorilyi4Hryhoriev4n = 8split evenly
S5Pohorilyi4Hryhoriev1n = 5Pohorilyi took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPohorilyiHryhorievP − HBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.535.8+7.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPohorilyiHryhorievBasisWin rate · lifetime352 / 618 vs 122 / 25657%47.7%352 / 618 vs 122 / 256Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PohorilyiPohorilyi 1.44/Hryhoriev 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.1%
Pohorilyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Pohorilyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 15:30M. Pohorilyi—1113113R. Hryhoriev—71170
WAug 17 · 14:00M. Pohorilyi—11611113R. Hryhoriev—811781
LJul 22 · 15:30M. Pohorilyi—119491R. Hryhoriev—51111113
WJul 13 · 17:38M. Pohorilyi—114128113R. Hryhoriev—311101172
WJul 13 · 14:00M. Pohorilyi—1111113R. Hryhoriev—3360
LJul 8 · 14:00M. Pohorilyi—911101182R. Hryhoriev—118125113
WJun 25 · 17:04M. Pohorilyi—411118123R. Hryhoriev—119311102
WJun 25 · 14:00M. Pohorilyi—11119183R. Hryhoriev—8411161
WApr 30 · 14:00M. Pohorilyi—1111811113R. Hryhoriev—13311532
WFeb 5 · 18:40M. Pohorilyi—9111111113R. Hryhoriev—11481362
M. Pohorilyi10
WSep 10 · 14:00M. Pohorilyi1.4411711113Y. Zvolynskyi2.63911731WSep 10 · 13:00M. Pohorilyi1.5312113123V. Simchuk2.3810911101LSep 5 · 10:31M. Pohorilyi4.05105100D. Tsys1.181211123WSep 5 · 08:30N. Priadko1.834370M. Pohorilyi1.831111113WSep 5 · 07:30M. Pohorilyi2.7511118113O. Torianyk1.40941141LSep 5 · 06:30D. Tsys1.221111113M. Pohorilyi4.006660WSep 5 · 05:30M. Pohorilyi1.571113113S. Sideltsev2.2591160LSep 4 · 17:35D. Tsys1.221211113M. Pohorilyi4.0010590WSep 4 · 16:30M. Pohorilyi1.40119116113I. Dubinin2.7551151162WSep 4 · 15:30M. Pohorilyi3.0071111113O. Torianyk1.36117561
R. Hryhoriev10
LSep 10 · 14:30R. Hryhoriev2.00661181V. Simchuk1.7311115113WSep 10 · 13:30I. Dubinin1.801441361R. Hryhoriev1.91121115113WSep 10 · 12:30R. Hryhoriev1.3613911203Y. Zvolynskyi3.0011119181LSep 3 · 17:03R. Hryhoriev2.63951121S. Sideltsev1.4411118113LSep 3 · 16:00S. Sideltsev1.83111113113R. Hryhoriev1.831391191WSep 3 · 14:30O. Levytskyi3.5091261192R. Hryhoriev1.281110119113WSep 3 · 13:00R. Sveshnykov2.10117451R. Hryhoriev1.6731111113WSep 3 · 12:00N. Priadko1.91148551R. Hryhoriev1.80121111113LSep 1 · 15:30M. Pohorilyi1.501113113R. Hryhoriev2.5071170WSep 1 · 14:30R. Hryhoriev2.381111113N. Priadko1.535580
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