TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136510
Played Sep 16Finished
Oleksandr Badanin
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
5111191171113311
Mykola Zavoloka
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:45 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeMykola Zavoloka to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Badanin above · Mykola Zavoloka below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 92 set 5, 3-11 — our read held Mykola Zavoloka at 55.8%
92 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Badanin 0–2 Mykola Zavoloka Oleksandr Badanin has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:45What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Zavoloka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Badanin 1135 vs Zavoloka 1313
Zavoloka
Correct
both rated, 177 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Badanin 40% vs Zavoloka 80%
Zavoloka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Badanin 30% vs Zavoloka 50%
Zavoloka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Badanin -1 · Zavoloka +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Zavoloka) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zavoloka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBadanin 2.63 / Zavoloka 1.44
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Zavoloka)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13136510
Badanin2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 16 of 46
Down 0–1, comes back11% 2 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 13
Zavoloka1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite70% won 30 of 43
Up 2–0, closes it94% 17 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it83% 25 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeBadanin0wins
AwayZavoloka2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderZavoloka leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricBadaninZavolokaB − ZBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match36.545.0−8.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBadaninZavolokaBasisWin rate · lifetime156 / 328 vs 43 / 6947.6%62.3%156 / 328 vs 43 / 69Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.738.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZavolokaBadanin 2.63/Zavoloka 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.3%
Zavoloka · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zavoloka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 16 · 06:30O. Badanin41511111132M. Zavoloka51119713113
LJun 28 · 14:58O. Badanin32911841M. Zavoloka3911611113
O. Badanin10
LSep 16 · 05:00O. Badanin1.5061111952S. Honcharenko2.50114511113WSep 14 · 10:38E. Bakin1.91311100O. Badanin1.801113123LSep 14 · 09:30S. Zherykhin2.63711112123O. Badanin1.44119711102WSep 14 · 08:00O. Badanin2.381111113E. Bakin1.538950LSep 14 · 06:30O. Badanin1.579470A. Lysyi2.251111113LSep 14 · 05:00O. Badanin1.5051191182O. Shvydkyi2.50115115113WSep 7 · 09:00O. Badanin1.3311131110113S. Zherykhin3.2561551292LSep 7 · 08:00Y. Urezchenko2.381111133O. Badanin1.5388110LSep 7 · 07:00V. Khyzhnyak3.7511111113O. Badanin1.25991181LSep 7 · 05:30A. Lysyi2.7511119113O. Badanin1.40991171
M. Zavoloka10
WSep 16 · 05:30M. Zavoloka3.00111196123V. Simchuk1.36861111102WSep 15 · 09:58S. Honcharenko2.3852110M. Zavoloka1.531111133LSep 15 · 09:30Y. Zvolynskyi2.001111153M. Zavoloka1.7388130WSep 15 · 08:00M. Zavoloka1.501112113V. Matviichuk2.5091070WSep 15 · 06:30M. Zavoloka1.831211113S. Honcharenko1.8310980LSep 15 · 05:00M. Zavoloka2.2011721121P. Shulhachyk1.61131119143WSep 9 · 09:30Y. Zvolynskyi2.1071111872M. Zavoloka1.67113711113LSep 9 · 08:00M. Zavoloka1.5041280S. Honcharenko2.501114113LSep 9 · 06:30M. Zavoloka1.8358111182I. Sorochan1.83111189113LSep 9 · 05:00M. Zavoloka1.8061111662V. Kurliuk1.91115911113
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