TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126153
Played Sep 14Finished
Oleksandr Badanin
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118119115––––
Evgenii Bakin
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:12 and never touched — 60.4% is still 60.4%
Graded at full timeEvgenii Bakin to win
60.4%
60.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Badanin above · Evgenii Bakin below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 55 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Evgenii Bakin at 60.4%
55 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Badanin 5–4 Evgenii Bakin Evgenii Bakin has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:12What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Bakin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-4 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Badanin 1125 vs Bakin 1272
Bakin
Wrong
both rated, 147 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Badanin 20% vs Bakin 60%
Bakin
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Badanin 30% vs Bakin 60%
Bakin
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Badanin -2 · Bakin +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Bakin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Badanin form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBadanin 2.38 / Bakin 1.53
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Bakin)-0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13126153
Badanin2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 15 of 45
Down 0–1, comes back11% 2 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 13
Bakin1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite71% won 24 of 34
Up 2–0, closes it100% 17 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it86% 19 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeBadanin5wins
AwayBakin4wins
4 of 9 to a deciderBadanin leads 5–4, and 4 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBadanin66.7%2 of 3
AwayBakin50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Badanin3Bakin6n = 9Bakin took 6 of 9
S2Badanin5Bakin4n = 9Badanin took 5 of 9
S3Badanin5Bakin4n = 9Badanin took 5 of 9
S4Badanin4Bakin1n = 5Badanin took 4 of 5
S5Badanin2Bakin2n = 4split evenly
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home222%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricBadaninBakinBadanin − BakinBasisWins54+1in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match39.137.0+2.1per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBadaninBakinBasisWin rate · lifetime156 / 328 vs 63 / 10847.6%58.3%156 / 328 vs 63 / 108Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.735.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BakinBadanin 2.38/Bakin 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.4%
Bakin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Badanin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LMay 29 · 08:30O. Badanin4311116962E. Bakin49971111113
LMar 22 · 11:48O. Badanin249780E. Bakin331111113
LMar 22 · 10:30O. Badanin51613111292E. Bakin551115810113
WJan 16 · 11:35O. Badanin48811811103E. Bakin3811711452
WJan 16 · 09:00O. Badanin46101114113E. Bakin401291271
WJan 5 · 11:00O. Badanin331111113E. Bakin166460
LJan 5 · 07:30O. Badanin2110380E. Bakin341211113
WAug 6 · 07:00O. Badanin351211123E. Bakin28108100
WAug 5 · 07:00O. Badanin51991111113E. Bakin4011118192
O. Badanin10
LSep 14 · 09:30S. Zherykhin2.63711112123O. Badanin1.44119711102LSep 14 · 06:30O. Badanin1.579470A. Lysyi2.251111113LSep 14 · 05:00O. Badanin1.5051191182O. Shvydkyi2.50115115113WSep 7 · 09:00O. Badanin1.3311131110113S. Zherykhin3.2561551292LSep 7 · 08:00Y. Urezchenko2.381111133O. Badanin1.5388110LSep 7 · 07:00V. Khyzhnyak3.7511111113O. Badanin1.25991181LSep 7 · 05:30A. Lysyi2.7511119113O. Badanin1.40991171WSep 4 · 10:09S. Honcharenko2.209114101O. Badanin1.6111911123LSep 4 · 09:30O. Badanin3.7511791152V. Kurliuk1.25711118113WSep 4 · 08:30O. Badanin1.57111125113S. Honcharenko2.2559111182
E. Bakin10
LSep 14 · 09:00E. Bakin1.30671171O. Shvydkyi3.4011114113WSep 14 · 07:00S. Zherykhin2.005510E. Bakin1.731111113LSep 14 · 05:30A. Lysyi5.00114311113E. Bakin1.1491111762WAug 2 · 10:08E. Bakin1.67117117113S. Honcharenko2.1091141182WAug 2 · 08:58E. Bakin1.80111168113O. Levytskyi1.9169111142LAug 2 · 07:58S. Honcharenko2.501111123E. Bakin1.5084100LAug 2 · 06:58R. Sveshnykov1.6111811113E. Bakin2.20511811LAug 2 · 05:29I. Sorochan2.1011812113E. Bakin1.679111041WJun 27 · 10:15E. Bakin1.301111113A. Lysyi3.404790WJun 27 · 09:00E. Bakin1.14511117113A. Danylov5.0011651172
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.