TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126155
Played Sep 14Finished
Anatoliy Lysyi
Home
5.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119411311117116
Evgenii Bakin
Away
1.14
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:12 and never touched — 83.0% is still 83.0%
Graded at full timeEvgenii Bakin to win
83.0%
83.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAnatoliy Lysyi above · Evgenii Bakin below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 84 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Evgenii Bakin at 83.0%
84 points played in total.
H2H Anatoliy Lysyi 1–4 Evgenii Bakin Anatoliy Lysyi has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:12What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.14 (81%)
Bakin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-4 in 5
Bakin
Wrong
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lysyi 1081 vs Bakin 1283
Bakin
Wrong
both rated, 202 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lysyi 60% vs Bakin 40%
Lysyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lysyi 40% vs Bakin 60%
Bakin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lysyi -1 · Bakin +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Bakin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bakin form (40%) is below what odds imply (88%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLysyi 5.00 / Bakin 1.14
Signal prob.17% / 83%
Edge (Bakin)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13126155
Lysyi5.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog28% won 33 of 118
Down 0–1, comes back10% 7 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 43
Bakin1.14
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite71% won 24 of 34
Up 2–0, closes it100% 17 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it86% 19 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeLysyi1wins
AwayBakin4wins
Bakin leads 4–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLysyin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayBakin100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lysyi2Bakin3n = 5Bakin took 3 of 5
S2Lysyi2Bakin3n = 5Bakin took 3 of 5
S3Lysyi1Bakin4n = 5Bakin took 4 of 5
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away240%
These 5 meetings
MetricLysyiBakinL − BBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match29.435.8−6.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLysyiBakinBasisWin rate · lifetime182 / 425 vs 66 / 11542.8%57.4%182 / 425 vs 66 / 115Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.335.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BakinLysyi 5.00/Bakin 1.14
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
83%
Bakin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Lysyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WMay 18 · 09:00A. Lysyi331111113E. Bakin239950
LMay 1 · 17:39A. Lysyi24116341E. Bakin4291111113
LMay 1 · 15:30A. Lysyi2410860E. Bakin341211113
LApr 11 · 05:30A. Lysyi3057180E. Bakin421111203
LDec 6 · 07:00A. Lysyi36911881E. Bakin3811511113
A. Lysyi10
WSep 14 · 06:30O. Badanin1.579470A. Lysyi2.251111113LSep 7 · 10:33A. Lysyi1.367690Y. Urezchenko3.001111113WSep 7 · 08:30V. Khyzhnyak5.00531261A. Lysyi1.14111110113WSep 7 · 07:30A. Lysyi1.7311811113S. Zherykhin2.00911481LSep 7 · 06:30Y. Urezchenko3.25111145133A. Lysyi1.33691111112WSep 7 · 05:30A. Lysyi2.7511119113O. Badanin1.40991171LSep 6 · 08:30A. Danylov2.25121182113A. Lysyi1.57108111182LSep 6 · 07:30A. Lysyi1.834550V. Matviichuk1.831111113WSep 6 · 06:30S. Zherykhin2.0011991162A. Lysyi1.73111115113LSep 6 · 05:30A. Lysyi1.3011115262V. Hyriavyi3.40951111113
E. Bakin10
WAug 2 · 10:08E. Bakin1.67117117113S. Honcharenko2.1091141182WAug 2 · 08:58E. Bakin1.80111168113O. Levytskyi1.9169111142LAug 2 · 07:58S. Honcharenko2.501111123E. Bakin1.5084100LAug 2 · 06:58R. Sveshnykov1.6111811113E. Bakin2.20511811LAug 2 · 05:29I. Sorochan2.1011812113E. Bakin1.679111041WJun 27 · 10:15E. Bakin1.301111113A. Lysyi3.404790WJun 27 · 09:00E. Bakin1.14511117113A. Danylov5.0011651172WJun 27 · 08:00V. Khyzhnyak6.0051140E. Bakin1.111113113LJun 27 · 07:00D. Novik6.00711711113E. Bakin1.1111611742WJun 27 · 05:30A. Lysyi3.75110110E. Bakin1.251112133
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