TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12108668
Played Jun 27Finished
Dmytro Novik
Home
6.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
711116711117114
Evgenii Bakin
Away
1.11
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
How it is goingDmytro Novik above · Evgenii Bakin below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 86 set 5, 11-4
86 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Novik 2–8 Evgenii Bakin Dmytro Novik has won 2 of their 10 meetings.
Signal confidence: 93% — Strong (leans Bakin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bakin form (80%) is below what odds imply (90%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNovik 6.00 / Bakin 1.11
Signal prob.7% / 93%
Edge (Bakin)+8.8pp
Setka Cup · #12108668
Novik6.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog34% won 32 of 94
Down 0–1, comes back15% 8 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 44
Bakin1.11
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite72% won 31 of 43
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it90% 26 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNovik2wins
AwayBakin8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBakin leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNovikn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayBakin88.9%8 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Novik1Bakin9n = 10Bakin took 9 of 10
S2Novik1Bakin9n = 10Bakin took 9 of 10
S3Novik2Bakin8n = 10Bakin took 8 of 10
S4Novik3Bakin1n = 4Novik took 3 of 4
S5Novik2Bakin1n = 3Novik took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away660%
These 10 meetings
MetricNovikBakinN − BBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match27.237.8−10.6per matchSweeps06−63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNovikBakinBasisWin rate · lifetime129 / 336 vs 72 / 14138.4%51.1%129 / 336 vs 72 / 141Avg sets wonper match1.71.9per matchAvg pointsper match34.533.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BakinNovik 6.00/Bakin 1.11
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
93.2%
Bakin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Novik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 27 · 07:00D. Novik47711711113E. Bakin3911611742
LMay 18 · 09:58D. Novik124440E. Bakin331111113
LMay 18 · 08:00D. Novik2513750E. Bakin371511113
LMay 1 · 13:00D. Novik168530E. Bakin331111113
LJan 19 · 09:00D. Novik176290E. Bakin331111113
LJan 16 · 06:30D. Novik32951171E. Bakin4011117113
LDec 6 · 10:54D. Novik1941050E. Bakin331112103
LDec 6 · 08:00D. Novik42310111172E. Bakin47111285113
LOct 27 · 11:04D. Novik176650E. Bakin331111113
WOct 27 · 08:00D. Novik45125411133E. Bakin501011117112
D. Novik10
LAug 9 · 16:00I. Sorochan1.281113113D. Novik3.5061160LAug 9 · 14:30A. Lysyi1.91101111113D. Novik1.80128971LAug 9 · 13:00Y. Urezchenko1.5771111113D. Novik2.25118571LAug 9 · 12:00R. Sveshnykov1.441111113D. Novik2.634860LAug 3 · 10:04D. Novik3.25415571A. Lysyi1.33111311113LAug 3 · 09:00V. Hyriavyi2.38971111113D. Novik1.5311119482LAug 3 · 07:30A. Lysyi2.7511911113D. Novik1.40411891WAug 3 · 06:00O. Shvydkyi2.503640D. Novik1.501111113LAug 3 · 05:00V. Matviichuk1.331111113D. Novik3.258590WAug 2 · 17:28D. Novik1.6111117113V. Khyzhnyak2.20861171
E. Bakin10
WSep 14 · 07:00S. Zherykhin2.005510E. Bakin1.731111113LSep 14 · 05:30A. Lysyi5.00114311113E. Bakin1.1491111762WAug 2 · 10:08E. Bakin1.67117117113S. Honcharenko2.1091141182WAug 2 · 08:58E. Bakin1.80111168113O. Levytskyi1.9169111142LAug 2 · 07:58S. Honcharenko2.501111123E. Bakin1.5084100LAug 2 · 06:58R. Sveshnykov1.6111811113E. Bakin2.20511811LAug 2 · 05:29I. Sorochan2.1011812113E. Bakin1.679111041WJun 27 · 10:15E. Bakin1.301111113A. Lysyi3.404790WJun 27 · 09:00E. Bakin1.14511117113A. Danylov5.0011651172WJun 27 · 08:00V. Khyzhnyak6.0051140E. Bakin1.111113113
Upcoming Matches
D. Novik
Nothing scheduled
E. Bakin
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