TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12350473
Played Aug 2Finished
Evgenii Bakin
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
116119611811114
Oleksandr Levytskyi
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingEvgenii Bakin above · Oleksandr Levytskyi below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 88 set 5, 11-4
88 points played in total.
H2H Evgenii Bakin 1–1 Oleksandr Levytskyi Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Bakin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Levytskyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBakin 1.80 / Levytskyi 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Bakin)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #12350473
Bakin1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite73% won 24 of 33
Up 2–0, closes it94% 17 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it82% 18 of 22
Levytskyi1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog23% won 17 of 74
Down 0–1, comes back16% 8 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeBakin1wins
AwayLevytskyi1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricBakinLevytskyiB − LBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match32.030.5+1.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBakinLevytskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime64 / 113 vs 147 / 33256.6%44.3%64 / 113 vs 147 / 332Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match34.835.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BakinBakin 1.80/Levytskyi 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Bakin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Bakin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LJun 6 · 15:30E. Bakin31118661O. Levytskyi3851111113
WMar 30 · 12:30E. Bakin331111113O. Levytskyi238960
E. Bakin10
WSep 14 · 07:00S. Zherykhin2.005510E. Bakin1.731111113LSep 14 · 05:30A. Lysyi5.00114311113E. Bakin1.1491111762WAug 2 · 10:08E. Bakin1.67117117113S. Honcharenko2.1091141182LAug 2 · 07:58S. Honcharenko2.501111123E. Bakin1.5084100LAug 2 · 06:58R. Sveshnykov1.6111811113E. Bakin2.20511811LAug 2 · 05:29I. Sorochan2.1011812113E. Bakin1.679111041WJun 27 · 10:15E. Bakin1.301111113A. Lysyi3.404790WJun 27 · 09:00E. Bakin1.14511117113A. Danylov5.0011651172WJun 27 · 08:00V. Khyzhnyak6.0051140E. Bakin1.111113113LJun 27 · 07:00D. Novik6.00711711113E. Bakin1.1111611742
O. Levytskyi10
WSep 13 · 16:59O. Levytskyi1.8311711113S. Zherykhin1.83911741WSep 13 · 16:00V. Khyzhnyak4.33851181O. Levytskyi1.2011119113LSep 13 · 14:30A. Danylov2.50111193O. Levytskyi1.507770WSep 13 · 13:00R. Sveshnykov1.61118661O. Levytskyi2.2071111103LSep 13 · 12:00S. Zherykhin2.1061111113O. Levytskyi1.67113871LSep 3 · 17:33O. Levytskyi1.4491070R. Sveshnykov2.631112113WSep 3 · 15:30R. Sveshnykov2.2548120O. Levytskyi1.571111143LSep 3 · 14:30O. Levytskyi3.5091261192R. Hryhoriev1.281110119113LSep 3 · 13:30N. Priadko1.53115711153O. Levytskyi2.38811118132WSep 3 · 12:30O. Levytskyi4.50111148133S. Sideltsev1.17791111112
Upcoming Matches
E. Bakin
O. Levytskyi
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