TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122033
Played Sep 13Finished
Roman Sveshnykov
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
117811611610––
Oleksandr Levytskyi
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:28 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Levytskyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Sveshnykov above · Oleksandr Levytskyi below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 6-10
Point 70 set 4, 6-10 — our read held Oleksandr Levytskyi at 54.0%
70 points played in total.
H2H Roman Sveshnykov 3–9 Oleksandr Levytskyi Roman Sveshnykov has won 3 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:28What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Sveshnykov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-9 in 12
Levytskyi
Correct
gap of 6 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sveshnykov 1278 vs Levytskyi 1192
Sveshnykov
Wrong
both rated, 87 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sveshnykov 60% vs Levytskyi 20%
Sveshnykov
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sveshnykov 70% vs Levytskyi 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sveshnykov +2 · Levytskyi -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Sveshnykov) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Levytskyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSveshnykov 1.61 / Levytskyi 2.20
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Sveshnykov)-0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13122033
Sveshnykov1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite80% won 32 of 40
Up 2–0, closes it95% 19 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it90% 26 of 29
Levytskyi2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog19% won 13 of 67
Down 0–1, comes back16% 7 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSveshnykov3wins
AwayLevytskyi7wins
Levytskyi leads 7–3.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSveshnykov60%3 of 5
AwayLevytskyi100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sveshnykov5Levytskyi5n = 10split evenly
S2Sveshnykov4Levytskyi6n = 10Levytskyi took 6 of 10
S3Sveshnykov4Levytskyi6n = 10Levytskyi took 6 of 10
S4Sveshnykov0Levytskyi4n = 4Levytskyi took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSveshnykovLevytskyiS − LBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match30.334.4−4.1per matchSweeps3303–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSveshnykovLevytskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime111 / 277 vs 132 / 30840.1%42.9%111 / 277 vs 132 / 308Avg sets wonper match1.71.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.035.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SveshnykovSveshnykov 1.61/Levytskyi 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.4%
Sveshnykov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Levytskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 17:33R. Sveshnykov341112113O. Levytskyi2691070
LSep 3 · 15:30R. Sveshnykov2448120O. Levytskyi361111143
LAug 2 · 05:59R. Sveshnykov371261091O. Levytskyi44101112113
LJun 6 · 14:30R. Sveshnykov377121081O. Levytskyi44111012113
LMay 24 · 13:30R. Sveshnykov27461161O. Levytskyi4211119113
WApr 25 · 05:30R. Sveshnykov331111113O. Levytskyi204790
LApr 18 · 15:00R. Sveshnykov228680O. Levytskyi331111113
WMar 29 · 16:00R. Sveshnykov321111103O. Levytskyi215970
LFeb 15 · 17:30R. Sveshnykov341231091O. Levytskyi44101112113
LJan 5 · 14:30R. Sveshnykov2310940O. Levytskyi341211113
R. Sveshnykov10
WSep 6 · 16:59V. Kurliuk1.251146111R. Sveshnykov3.7551111133WSep 6 · 16:00R. Sveshnykov3.75111138113V. Kurliuk1.2559111192LSep 6 · 15:00S. Honcharenko2.2511119123R. Sveshnykov1.577611101WSep 6 · 14:00Y. Urezchenko2.501411781R. Sveshnykov1.5016911113LSep 6 · 12:30I. Sorochan1.251181111113R. Sveshnykov3.7561113672WSep 5 · 17:04A. Lysyi3.2571161242R. Sveshnykov1.33119111063WSep 5 · 16:30R. Sveshnykov1.611171193S. Honcharenko2.20911671WSep 5 · 15:30R. Sveshnykov1.4081211113A. Lysyi2.751110581LSep 5 · 14:00R. Sveshnykov3.756990I. Sorochan1.251111113WSep 5 · 13:00R. Sveshnykov1.731111103V. Matviichuk2.007420
O. Levytskyi10
LSep 13 · 12:00S. Zherykhin2.1061111113O. Levytskyi1.67113871LSep 3 · 17:33O. Levytskyi1.4491070R. Sveshnykov2.631112113WSep 3 · 15:30R. Sveshnykov2.2548120O. Levytskyi1.571111143LSep 3 · 14:30O. Levytskyi3.5091261192R. Hryhoriev1.281110119113LSep 3 · 13:30N. Priadko1.53115711153O. Levytskyi2.38811118132WSep 3 · 12:30O. Levytskyi4.50111148133S. Sideltsev1.17791111112WAug 29 · 17:03O. Levytskyi1.401111113A. Lysyi2.753580WAug 29 · 16:00O. Levytskyi1.73121111103A. Danylov2.001013981WAug 29 · 15:00S. Zherykhin1.8367111162O. Levytskyi1.8311117693WAug 29 · 14:00V. Yarovyi3.254480O. Levytskyi1.331111113
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