TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122105
Played Sep 13Finished
Stanislav Zherykhin
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
611113118117––
Oleksandr Levytskyi
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:58 and never touched — 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Levytskyi to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingStanislav Zherykhin above · Oleksandr Levytskyi below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 68 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Oleksandr Levytskyi at 58.6%
68 points played in total.
H2H Stanislav Zherykhin 1–2 Oleksandr Levytskyi Stanislav Zherykhin has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:58What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Levytskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zherykhin 1026 vs Levytskyi 1210
Levytskyi
Wrong
both rated, 184 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zherykhin 80% vs Levytskyi 40%
Zherykhin
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zherykhin 50% vs Levytskyi 70%
Levytskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zherykhin +4 · Levytskyi -1
Zherykhin
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Levytskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Levytskyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZherykhin 2.10 / Levytskyi 1.67
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Levytskyi)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13122105
Zherykhin2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog28% won 15 of 54
Down 0–1, comes back16% 6 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back16% 4 of 25
Levytskyi1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 24 of 38
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it94% 17 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeZherykhin1wins
AwayLevytskyi2wins
2 of 3 to a deciderLevytskyi leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zherykhin2Levytskyi1n = 3Zherykhin took 2 of 3
S2Zherykhin1Levytskyi2n = 3Levytskyi took 2 of 3
S3Zherykhin2Levytskyi1n = 3Zherykhin took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away267%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricZherykhinLevytskyiZ − LBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match42.340.7+1.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZherykhinLevytskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime27 / 79 vs 132 / 30734.2%43%27 / 79 vs 132 / 307Avg sets wonper match1.61.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.435.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LevytskyiZherykhin 2.10/Levytskyi 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.6%
Levytskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zherykhin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 29 · 15:00S. Zherykhin4167111162O. Levytskyi4411117693
WJul 26 · 13:30S. Zherykhin351311113O. Levytskyi2511770
LJul 19 · 15:30S. Zherykhin511110101192O. Levytskyi53912129113
S. Zherykhin10
WSep 10 · 10:34V. Khyzhnyak2.759280S. Zherykhin1.401111113WSep 10 · 09:30S. Zherykhin1.5711711113V. Khyzhnyak2.25611861WSep 10 · 08:30S. Zherykhin2.2512811113O. Shvydkyi1.571011791WSep 10 · 07:00S. Zherykhin2.631211113V. Matviichuk1.4410450LSep 10 · 06:00S. Zherykhin2.6371111121Y. Urezchenko1.4411713143LSep 7 · 09:00O. Badanin1.3311131110113S. Zherykhin3.2561551292LSep 7 · 07:30A. Lysyi1.7311811113S. Zherykhin2.00911481WSep 7 · 06:00V. Khyzhnyak1.8361060S. Zherykhin1.831112113LSep 7 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko1.611612113S. Zherykhin2.20141010LSep 6 · 10:29V. Matviichuk1.6111411133S. Zherykhin2.209119111
O. Levytskyi10
LSep 3 · 17:33O. Levytskyi1.4491070R. Sveshnykov2.631112113WSep 3 · 15:30R. Sveshnykov2.2548120O. Levytskyi1.571111143LSep 3 · 14:30O. Levytskyi3.5091261192R. Hryhoriev1.281110119113LSep 3 · 13:30N. Priadko1.53115711153O. Levytskyi2.38811118132WSep 3 · 12:30O. Levytskyi4.50111148133S. Sideltsev1.17791111112WAug 29 · 17:03O. Levytskyi1.401111113A. Lysyi2.753580WAug 29 · 16:00O. Levytskyi1.73121111103A. Danylov2.001013981WAug 29 · 15:00S. Zherykhin1.8367111162O. Levytskyi1.8311117693WAug 29 · 14:00V. Yarovyi3.254480O. Levytskyi1.331111113WAug 29 · 12:30A. Lysyi2.63991191O. Levytskyi1.4411118113
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