TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105615
Played Sep 10Finished
Stanislav Zherykhin
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116711118116––
Volodymyr Khyzhnyak
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeStanislav Zherykhin to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingStanislav Zherykhin above · Volodymyr Khyzhnyak below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 71 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Stanislav Zherykhin at 54.0%
71 points played in total.
H2H Stanislav Zherykhin 1–0 Volodymyr Khyzhnyak Volodymyr Khyzhnyak has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:03What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Zherykhin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Zherykhin 998 vs Khyzhnyak 1075
Khyzhnyak
Wrong
both rated, 77 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zherykhin 40% vs Khyzhnyak 60%
Khyzhnyak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zherykhin 40% vs Khyzhnyak 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zherykhin +1 · Khyzhnyak +3
Khyzhnyak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Zherykhin) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khyzhnyak form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZherykhin 1.57 / Khyzhnyak 2.25
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Zherykhin)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13105615
Zherykhin1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite50% won 9 of 18
Up 2–0, closes it83% 5 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it78% 7 of 9
Khyzhnyak2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog27% won 22 of 83
Down 0–1, comes back11% 5 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeZherykhin1wins
AwayKhyzhnyak0wins
Zherykhin leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricZherykhinKhyzhnyakZ − KBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match34.022.0+12.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZherykhinKhyzhnyakBasisWin rate · lifetime24 / 76 vs 52 / 15531.6%33.6%24 / 76 vs 52 / 155Avg sets wonper match1.61.5per matchAvg pointsper match35.334.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZherykhinZherykhin 1.57/Khyzhnyak 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.1%
Zherykhin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zherykhin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 7 · 06:00S. Zherykhin—1112113V. Khyzhnyak—61060
S. Zherykhin10
WSep 10 · 08:30S. Zherykhin2.2512811113O. Shvydkyi1.571011791WSep 10 · 07:00S. Zherykhin2.631211113V. Matviichuk1.4410450LSep 10 · 06:00S. Zherykhin2.6371111121Y. Urezchenko1.4411713143LSep 7 · 09:00O. Badanin1.3311131110113S. Zherykhin3.2561551292LSep 7 · 07:30A. Lysyi1.7311811113S. Zherykhin2.00911481WSep 7 · 06:00V. Khyzhnyak1.8361060S. Zherykhin1.831112113LSep 7 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko1.611612113S. Zherykhin2.20141010LSep 6 · 10:29V. Matviichuk1.6111411133S. Zherykhin2.209119111WSep 6 · 09:30A. Danylov1.6710116101S. Zherykhin2.1012511123WSep 6 · 08:00S. Zherykhin1.53881111113V. Hyriavyi2.3811117432
V. Khyzhnyak10
WSep 10 · 08:00V. Khyzhnyak3.251111133V. Matviichuk1.3345110WSep 10 · 06:30V. Khyzhnyak2.0011811113O. Shvydkyi1.73311281WSep 10 · 05:00V. Khyzhnyak1.80711118113Y. Urezchenko1.9111881192LSep 7 · 09:30V. Khyzhnyak1.7311591192Y. Urezchenko2.00611114113LSep 7 · 08:30V. Khyzhnyak5.00531261A. Lysyi1.14111110113WSep 7 · 07:00V. Khyzhnyak3.7511111113O. Badanin1.25991181LSep 7 · 06:00V. Khyzhnyak1.8361060S. Zherykhin1.831112113LSep 4 · 09:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.081111113V. Khyzhnyak7.005970LSep 4 · 07:30S. Honcharenko1.171111113V. Khyzhnyak4.507680LSep 4 · 06:00O. Badanin1.3311711113V. Khyzhnyak3.25411531
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