TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105998
Played Sep 10Finished
Volodymyr Khyzhnyak
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
113811112118––
Oleg Shvydkyi
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:23 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleg Shvydkyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVolodymyr Khyzhnyak above · Oleg Shvydkyi below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-2
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 65 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Oleg Shvydkyi at 54.0%
65 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Khyzhnyak 5–3 Oleg Shvydkyi Oleg Shvydkyi has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:23What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Shvydkyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-3 in 8
Khyzhnyak
Correct
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khyzhnyak 1075 vs Shvydkyi 1064
Khyzhnyak
Correct
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khyzhnyak 40% vs Shvydkyi 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khyzhnyak 30% vs Shvydkyi 50%
Shvydkyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Khyzhnyak +1 · Shvydkyi +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Shvydkyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shvydkyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhyzhnyak 2.00 / Shvydkyi 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Shvydkyi)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13105998
Khyzhnyak2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog27% won 22 of 83
Down 0–1, comes back11% 5 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 28
Shvydkyi1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite40% won 6 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it83% 5 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeKhyzhnyak5wins
AwayShvydkyi3wins
2 of 8 to a deciderKhyzhnyak leads 5–3, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhyzhnyak100%4 of 4
AwayShvydkyi75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khyzhnyak4Shvydkyi4n = 8split evenly
S2Khyzhnyak3Shvydkyi5n = 8Shvydkyi took 5 of 8
S3Khyzhnyak3Shvydkyi5n = 8Shvydkyi took 5 of 8
S4Khyzhnyak4Shvydkyi1n = 5Khyzhnyak took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away225%
These 8 meetings
MetricKhyzhnyakShvydkyiK − SBasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match33.533.9−0.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhyzhnyakShvydkyiBasisWin rate · lifetime52 / 155 vs 60 / 16733.6%35.9%52 / 155 vs 60 / 167Avg sets wonper match1.51.6per matchAvg pointsper match34.032.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShvydkyiKhyzhnyak 2.00/Shvydkyi 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Shvydkyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Khyzhnyak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 10 · 06:30V. Khyzhnyak—11811113O. Shvydkyi—311281
WAug 14 · 06:30V. Khyzhnyak—1111113O. Shvydkyi—3760
WMar 23 · 06:30V. Khyzhnyak—115811113O. Shvydkyi—91111562
LJun 22 · 15:30V. Khyzhnyak—3840O. Shvydkyi—1111113
LJun 13 · 13:00V. Khyzhnyak—9140O. Shvydkyi—1111113
WMar 23 · 18:40V. Khyzhnyak—11116113O. Shvydkyi—881181
LMar 23 · 13:00V. Khyzhnyak—511291O. Shvydkyi—11411113
WJan 26 · 17:30V. Khyzhnyak—891111143O. Shvydkyi—111189122
V. Khyzhnyak10
LSep 10 · 09:30S. Zherykhin1.5711711113V. Khyzhnyak2.25611861WSep 10 · 08:00V. Khyzhnyak3.251111133V. Matviichuk1.3345110WSep 10 · 05:00V. Khyzhnyak1.80711118113Y. Urezchenko1.9111881192LSep 7 · 09:30V. Khyzhnyak1.7311591192Y. Urezchenko2.00611114113LSep 7 · 08:30V. Khyzhnyak5.00531261A. Lysyi1.14111110113WSep 7 · 07:00V. Khyzhnyak3.7511111113O. Badanin1.25991181LSep 7 · 06:00V. Khyzhnyak1.8361060S. Zherykhin1.831112113LSep 4 · 09:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.081111113V. Khyzhnyak7.005970LSep 4 · 07:30S. Honcharenko1.171111113V. Khyzhnyak4.507680LSep 4 · 06:00O. Badanin1.3311711113V. Khyzhnyak3.25411531
O. Shvydkyi10
LSep 10 · 10:03Y. Urezchenko1.251311113O. Shvydkyi3.7511450LSep 10 · 08:30S. Zherykhin2.2512811113O. Shvydkyi1.571011791LSep 10 · 07:30O. Shvydkyi3.50101140Y. Urezchenko1.281213113WSep 10 · 05:30O. Shvydkyi2.2011129113V. Matviichuk1.614101181WAug 16 · 16:00V. Yarovyi4.501159101O. Shvydkyi1.1781111123LAug 16 · 14:30A. Lysyi1.401111113O. Shvydkyi2.759830LAug 16 · 13:00M. Zavoloka1.611111113O. Shvydkyi2.206950LAug 16 · 12:00A. Danylov3.407111011113O. Shvydkyi1.3011512882WAug 14 · 10:04S. Honcharenko1.6796111462O. Shvydkyi2.101111812113WAug 14 · 08:30O. Levytskyi1.40111191172O. Shvydkyi2.75136116113
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