TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12428270
Played Aug 14Finished
Oleksandr Levytskyi
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1113116911116711
Oleg Shvydkyi
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:54 and never touched — 76.3% is still 76.3%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Levytskyi to win
76.3%
76.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Levytskyi above · Oleg Shvydkyi below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 96 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Oleksandr Levytskyi at 76.3%
96 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Levytskyi 10–7 Oleg Shvydkyi Oleg Shvydkyi has won 7 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:54What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Levytskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-7 in 17
Levytskyi
Wrong
gap of 3 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Levytskyi 1124 vs Shvydkyi 1050
Levytskyi
Wrong
both rated, 74 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Levytskyi 60% vs Shvydkyi 40%
Levytskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Levytskyi 50% vs Shvydkyi 30%
Levytskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Levytskyi +1 · Shvydkyi -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Levytskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Levytskyi form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLevytskyi 1.40 / Shvydkyi 2.75
Signal prob.76% / 24%
Edge (Levytskyi)+10.0pp
Setka Cup · #12428270
Levytskyi1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 20 of 34
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it88% 14 of 16
Shvydkyi2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog26% won 13 of 50
Down 0–1, comes back12% 4 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLevytskyi6wins
AwayShvydkyi4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevytskyi leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLevytskyi75%6 of 8
AwayShvydkyin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Levytskyi8Shvydkyi2n = 10Levytskyi took 8 of 10
S2Levytskyi4Shvydkyi6n = 10Shvydkyi took 6 of 10
S3Levytskyi7Shvydkyi3n = 10Levytskyi took 7 of 10
S4Levytskyi2Shvydkyi3n = 5Shvydkyi took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLevytskyiShvydkyiL − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match36.331.6+4.7per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLevytskyiShvydkyiBasisWin rate · lifetime133 / 310 vs 66 / 18142.9%36.5%133 / 310 vs 66 / 181Avg sets wonper match1.81.6per matchAvg pointsper match35.133.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LevytskyiLevytskyi 1.40/Shvydkyi 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
76.3%
Levytskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Shvydkyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 7 · 09:59O. Levytskyi—1111113O. Shvydkyi—1390
WAug 7 · 08:30O. Levytskyi—1113117113O. Shvydkyi—91591162
WFeb 2 · 13:30O. Levytskyi—1111113O. Shvydkyi—9540
WJan 5 · 13:30O. Levytskyi—11911113O. Shvydkyi—911581
LSep 14 · 13:00O. Levytskyi—117951O. Shvydkyi—5111193
LAug 23 · 10:03O. Levytskyi—9880O. Shvydkyi—1111113
LAug 23 · 07:00O. Levytskyi—11791182O. Shvydkyi—711119113
LJul 2 · 14:30O. Levytskyi—491181O. Shvydkyi—11116113
WJun 13 · 14:30O. Levytskyi—1111113O. Shvydkyi—5990
WJun 7 · 08:00O. Levytskyi—1112113O. Shvydkyi—81040
O. Levytskyi10
LSep 3 · 17:33O. Levytskyi1.4491070R. Sveshnykov2.631112113WSep 3 · 15:30R. Sveshnykov2.2548120O. Levytskyi1.571111143LSep 3 · 14:30O. Levytskyi3.5091261192R. Hryhoriev1.281110119113LSep 3 · 13:30N. Priadko1.53115711153O. Levytskyi2.38811118132WSep 3 · 12:30O. Levytskyi4.50111148133S. Sideltsev1.17791111112WAug 29 · 17:03O. Levytskyi1.401111113A. Lysyi2.753580WAug 29 · 16:00O. Levytskyi1.73121111103A. Danylov2.001013981WAug 29 · 15:00S. Zherykhin1.8367111162O. Levytskyi1.8311117693WAug 29 · 14:00V. Yarovyi3.254480O. Levytskyi1.331111113WAug 29 · 12:30A. Lysyi2.63991191O. Levytskyi1.4411118113
O. Shvydkyi10
WSep 10 · 05:30O. Shvydkyi2.2011129113V. Matviichuk1.614101181WAug 16 · 16:00V. Yarovyi4.501159101O. Shvydkyi1.1781111123LAug 16 · 14:30A. Lysyi1.401111113O. Shvydkyi2.759830LAug 16 · 13:00M. Zavoloka1.611111113O. Shvydkyi2.206950LAug 16 · 12:00A. Danylov3.407111011113O. Shvydkyi1.3011512882WAug 14 · 10:04S. Honcharenko1.6796111462O. Shvydkyi2.101111812113LAug 14 · 07:30O. Shvydkyi1.91861161S. Honcharenko1.8011116113LAug 14 · 06:30V. Khyzhnyak2.751111113O. Shvydkyi1.403760WAug 14 · 05:30O. Shvydkyi2.5011412113V. Matviichuk1.504111061LAug 10 · 10:00O. Shvydkyi3.257460Y. Urezchenko1.331111113
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