TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12440597
Played Aug 16Finished
Anton Danylov
Home
3.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
7111151012118118
Oleg Shvydkyi
Away
1.30
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:14 and never touched — 61.3% is still 61.3%
Graded at full timeOleg Shvydkyi to win
61.3%
61.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAnton Danylov above · Oleg Shvydkyi below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 94 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Oleg Shvydkyi at 61.3%
94 points played in total.
H2H Anton Danylov 0–2 Oleg Shvydkyi Anton Danylov has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:14What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Shvydkyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Danylov 1055 vs Shvydkyi 1081
Shvydkyi
Wrong
both rated, 26 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Danylov 40% vs Shvydkyi 60%
Shvydkyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Danylov 60% vs Shvydkyi 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Danylov -1 · Shvydkyi +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Shvydkyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shvydkyi form (60%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDanylov 3.40 / Shvydkyi 1.30
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Shvydkyi)-11.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #12440597
Danylov3.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog27% won 23 of 85
Down 0–1, comes back10% 5 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 36
Shvydkyi1.30
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite47% won 7 of 15
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeDanylov0wins
AwayShvydkyi2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderShvydkyi leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricDanylovShvydkyiD − SBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match32.043.0−11.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDanylovShvydkyiBasisWin rate · lifetime30 / 106 vs 68 / 18328.3%37.2%30 / 106 vs 68 / 183Avg sets wonper match1.41.6per matchAvg pointsper match32.733.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShvydkyiDanylov 3.40/Shvydkyi 1.30
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.3%
Shvydkyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Danylov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LMar 22 · 10:00A. Danylov—4950O. Shvydkyi—1111113
LFeb 1 · 17:30A. Danylov—11136792O. Shvydkyi—9111111113
A. Danylov10
WSep 6 · 09:58V. Hyriavyi1.5031191192A. Danylov2.50117114113LSep 6 · 09:30A. Danylov1.6710116101S. Zherykhin2.1012511123WSep 6 · 08:30A. Danylov2.25121182113A. Lysyi1.57108111182LSep 6 · 07:00A. Danylov2.25581241V. Hyriavyi1.57111110113LSep 6 · 06:00A. Danylov1.731171171V. Matviichuk2.0013115113WAug 29 · 17:35A. Danylov1.506111112113V. Yarovyi2.5011871432LAug 29 · 16:00O. Levytskyi1.73121111103A. Danylov2.001013981LAug 29 · 14:30A. Lysyi1.7371111123A. Danylov2.001183101WAug 29 · 13:00V. Yarovyi2.50711781A. Danylov1.5011311113WAug 29 · 12:00S. Zherykhin1.67161151A. Danylov2.1011119113
O. Shvydkyi10
WSep 10 · 05:30O. Shvydkyi2.2011129113V. Matviichuk1.614101181WAug 16 · 16:00V. Yarovyi4.501159101O. Shvydkyi1.1781111123LAug 16 · 14:30A. Lysyi1.401111113O. Shvydkyi2.759830LAug 16 · 13:00M. Zavoloka1.611111113O. Shvydkyi2.206950WAug 14 · 10:04S. Honcharenko1.6796111462O. Shvydkyi2.101111812113WAug 14 · 08:30O. Levytskyi1.40111191172O. Shvydkyi2.75136116113LAug 14 · 07:30O. Shvydkyi1.91861161S. Honcharenko1.8011116113LAug 14 · 06:30V. Khyzhnyak2.751111113O. Shvydkyi1.403760WAug 14 · 05:30O. Shvydkyi2.5011412113V. Matviichuk1.504111061LAug 10 · 10:00O. Shvydkyi3.257460Y. Urezchenko1.331111113
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