TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12432903
Played Aug 14Finished
Serhii Honcharenko
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9116111181412611
Oleg Shvydkyi
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingSerhii Honcharenko above · Oleg Shvydkyi below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 14-12
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 99 set 5, 6-11
99 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Honcharenko 21–13 Oleg Shvydkyi Oleg Shvydkyi has won 13 of their 34 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Honcharenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Honcharenko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHoncharenko 1.67 / Shvydkyi 2.10
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Honcharenko)+8.0pp
Setka Cup · #12432903
Honcharenko1.67
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 84 of 139
Up 2–0, closes it94% 48 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it83% 67 of 81
Shvydkyi2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog26% won 13 of 50
Down 0–1, comes back12% 4 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHoncharenko5wins
AwayShvydkyi5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHoncharenko80%4 of 5
AwayShvydkyi80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Honcharenko5Shvydkyi5n = 10split evenly
S2Honcharenko5Shvydkyi5n = 10split evenly
S3Honcharenko5Shvydkyi5n = 10split evenly
S4Honcharenko2Shvydkyi3n = 5Shvydkyi took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricHoncharenkoShvydkyiH − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.434.7−0.3per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHoncharenkoShvydkyiBasisWin rate · lifetime403 / 810 vs 67 / 18249.8%36.8%403 / 810 vs 67 / 182Avg sets wonper match2.01.6per matchAvg pointsper match36.533.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HoncharenkoHoncharenko 1.67/Shvydkyi 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.8%
Honcharenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Shvydkyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 14 · 07:30S. Honcharenko—11116113O. Shvydkyi—861161
LAug 7 · 06:30S. Honcharenko—811130O. Shvydkyi—1113153
WJul 26 · 07:30S. Honcharenko—1111107113O. Shvydkyi—79121142
WJul 13 · 08:30S. Honcharenko—51111113O. Shvydkyi—117351
LMay 29 · 09:00S. Honcharenko—11613062O. Shvydkyi—8111111113
LMay 11 · 08:30S. Honcharenko—8880O. Shvydkyi—1111113
WApr 27 · 05:00S. Honcharenko—1311113O. Shvydkyi—11790
WMar 23 · 08:30S. Honcharenko—1214113O. Shvydkyi—101270
LMar 18 · 09:00S. Honcharenko—861151O. Shvydkyi—11111113
LJan 3 · 06:00S. Honcharenko—8960O. Shvydkyi—1111113
S. Honcharenko10
LSep 9 · 10:33S. Honcharenko2.6381111782Y. Zvolynskyi1.44117311113LSep 9 · 09:00S. Honcharenko1.91511481V. Kurliuk1.8011611113WSep 9 · 08:00M. Zavoloka1.5041280S. Honcharenko2.501114113WSep 9 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.506480S. Honcharenko2.501111113WSep 9 · 05:30I. Sorochan2.38961251S. Honcharenko1.53111110113LSep 8 · 10:33M. Zavoloka1.5714711113S. Honcharenko2.251211491LSep 8 · 09:30S. Honcharenko1.53116111062Y. Urezchenko2.38711512113WSep 8 · 08:30S. Honcharenko1.2511119113V. Hyriavyi3.75671191WSep 8 · 07:00S. Honcharenko1.531111113V. Matviichuk2.388780LSep 8 · 06:00S. Honcharenko1.739680M. Zavoloka2.001111113
O. Shvydkyi10
WSep 10 · 05:30O. Shvydkyi2.2011129113V. Matviichuk1.614101181WAug 16 · 16:00V. Yarovyi4.501159101O. Shvydkyi1.1781111123LAug 16 · 14:30A. Lysyi1.401111113O. Shvydkyi2.759830LAug 16 · 13:00M. Zavoloka1.611111113O. Shvydkyi2.206950LAug 16 · 12:00A. Danylov3.407111011113O. Shvydkyi1.3011512882WAug 14 · 08:30O. Levytskyi1.40111191172O. Shvydkyi2.75136116113LAug 14 · 07:30O. Shvydkyi1.91861161S. Honcharenko1.8011116113LAug 14 · 06:30V. Khyzhnyak2.751111113O. Shvydkyi1.403760WAug 14 · 05:30O. Shvydkyi2.5011412113V. Matviichuk1.504111061LAug 10 · 10:00O. Shvydkyi3.257460Y. Urezchenko1.331111113
Upcoming Matches
S. Honcharenko
Nothing scheduled
O. Shvydkyi
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