TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12440682
Played Aug 16Finished
Viacheslav Yarovyi
Home
4.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1185119111012––
Oleg Shvydkyi
Away
1.17
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:23 and never touched — 90.4% is still 90.4%
Graded at full timeOleg Shvydkyi to win
90.4%
90.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingViacheslav Yarovyi above · Oleg Shvydkyi below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 77 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Oleg Shvydkyi at 90.4%
77 points played in total.
H2H Viacheslav Yarovyi 0–6 Oleg Shvydkyi Viacheslav Yarovyi has won 0 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:23What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Shvydkyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-6 in 6
Shvydkyi
Correct
gap of 6 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Yarovyi 930 vs Shvydkyi 1048
Shvydkyi
Correct
both rated, 119 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Yarovyi 20% vs Shvydkyi 40%
Shvydkyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Yarovyi 10% vs Shvydkyi 40%
Shvydkyi
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Yarovyi -2 · Shvydkyi -3
Shvydkyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Shvydkyi) · live re-read · sealed at 90% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shvydkyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (86%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsYarovyi 4.50 / Shvydkyi 1.17
Signal prob.17% / 83%
Edge (Shvydkyi)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #12440682
Yarovyi4.50
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog23% won 11 of 47
Down 0–1, comes back9% 3 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 21
Shvydkyi1.17
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite47% won 7 of 15
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeYarovyi0wins
AwayShvydkyi6wins
Shvydkyi leads 6–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeYarovyin = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayShvydkyi100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Yarovyi0Shvydkyi6n = 6Shvydkyi took 6 of 6
S2Yarovyi2Shvydkyi4n = 6Shvydkyi took 4 of 6
S3Yarovyi0Shvydkyi6n = 6Shvydkyi took 6 of 6
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away350%
These 6 meetings
MetricYarovyiShvydkyiY − SBasisWins06−6in 6 meetingsFirst set06−6of 6Avg pointsper match50.559.2−8.7per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricYarovyiShvydkyiBasisWin rate · lifetime24 / 95 vs 68 / 18625.3%36.6%24 / 95 vs 68 / 186Avg sets wonper match1.51.6per matchAvg pointsper match36.533.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShvydkyiYarovyi 4.50/Shvydkyi 1.17
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
83.4%
Shvydkyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Shvydkyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LJul 13 · 09:59V. Yarovyi—611871O. Shvydkyi—11811113
LJul 13 · 07:30V. Yarovyi—8780O. Shvydkyi—1111113
LJun 14 · 10:35V. Yarovyi—5750O. Shvydkyi—1111113
LJun 14 · 06:00V. Yarovyi—612861O. Shvydkyi—111011113
LMay 25 · 09:00V. Yarovyi—54588798O. Shvydkyi—11111157829
LMay 24 · 16:30V. Yarovyi—9360O. Shvydkyi—1111113
V. Yarovyi10
LAug 30 · 09:30R. Sveshnykov1.13118812113V. Yarovyi5.50411111072LAug 30 · 08:00V. Yarovyi3.257880V. Matviichuk1.331111113WAug 30 · 06:30V. Yarovyi2.631111113A. Lysyi1.449590LAug 30 · 05:00V. Yarovyi3.7561111782S. Honcharenko1.25118911113LAug 29 · 17:35A. Danylov1.506111112113V. Yarovyi2.5011871432WAug 29 · 16:30V. Yarovyi2.6311611113S. Zherykhin1.44911931LAug 29 · 15:30V. Yarovyi2.109670A. Lysyi1.671111113LAug 29 · 14:00V. Yarovyi3.254480O. Levytskyi1.331111113LAug 29 · 13:00V. Yarovyi2.50711781A. Danylov1.5011311113LAug 17 · 09:59V. Khyzhnyak1.8011511123V. Yarovyi1.919119101
O. Shvydkyi10
WSep 10 · 05:30O. Shvydkyi2.2011129113V. Matviichuk1.614101181LAug 16 · 14:30A. Lysyi1.401111113O. Shvydkyi2.759830LAug 16 · 13:00M. Zavoloka1.611111113O. Shvydkyi2.206950LAug 16 · 12:00A. Danylov3.407111011113O. Shvydkyi1.3011512882WAug 14 · 10:04S. Honcharenko1.6796111462O. Shvydkyi2.101111812113WAug 14 · 08:30O. Levytskyi1.40111191172O. Shvydkyi2.75136116113LAug 14 · 07:30O. Shvydkyi1.91861161S. Honcharenko1.8011116113LAug 14 · 06:30V. Khyzhnyak2.751111113O. Shvydkyi1.403760WAug 14 · 05:30O. Shvydkyi2.5011412113V. Matviichuk1.504111061LAug 10 · 10:00O. Shvydkyi3.257460Y. Urezchenko1.331111113
Upcoming Matches
V. Yarovyi
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O. Shvydkyi
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