TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12427767
Played Aug 14Finished
Volodymyr Khyzhnyak
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
113117116––––
Oleg Shvydkyi
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:48 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeOleg Shvydkyi to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVolodymyr Khyzhnyak above · Oleg Shvydkyi below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 49 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Oleg Shvydkyi at 55.3%
49 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Khyzhnyak 4–3 Oleg Shvydkyi Oleg Shvydkyi has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:48What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Shvydkyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khyzhnyak 1083 vs Shvydkyi 1081
Khyzhnyak
Correct
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khyzhnyak 40% vs Shvydkyi 60%
Shvydkyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khyzhnyak 40% vs Shvydkyi 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Khyzhnyak -2 · Shvydkyi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Shvydkyi) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shvydkyi form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhyzhnyak 2.75 / Shvydkyi 1.40
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Shvydkyi)-8.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #12427767
Khyzhnyak2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog25% won 22 of 87
Down 0–1, comes back12% 6 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 34
Shvydkyi1.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite47% won 7 of 15
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKhyzhnyak4wins
AwayShvydkyi3wins
2 of 7 to a deciderKhyzhnyak leads 4–3, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhyzhnyak100%3 of 3
AwayShvydkyi75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khyzhnyak3Shvydkyi4n = 7Shvydkyi took 4 of 7
S2Khyzhnyak3Shvydkyi4n = 7Shvydkyi took 4 of 7
S3Khyzhnyak2Shvydkyi5n = 7Shvydkyi took 5 of 7
S4Khyzhnyak3Shvydkyi1n = 4Khyzhnyak took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricKhyzhnyakShvydkyiK − SBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match32.435.3−2.9per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhyzhnyakShvydkyiBasisWin rate · lifetime46 / 151 vs 68 / 18330.5%37.2%46 / 151 vs 68 / 183Avg sets wonper match1.51.6per matchAvg pointsper match33.833.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShvydkyiKhyzhnyak 2.75/Shvydkyi 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.3%
Shvydkyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Khyzhnyak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 14 · 06:30V. Khyzhnyak—1111113O. Shvydkyi—3760
WMar 23 · 06:30V. Khyzhnyak—115811113O. Shvydkyi—91111562
LJun 22 · 15:30V. Khyzhnyak—3840O. Shvydkyi—1111113
LJun 13 · 13:00V. Khyzhnyak—9140O. Shvydkyi—1111113
WMar 23 · 18:40V. Khyzhnyak—11116113O. Shvydkyi—881181
LMar 23 · 13:00V. Khyzhnyak—511291O. Shvydkyi—11411113
WJan 26 · 17:30V. Khyzhnyak—891111143O. Shvydkyi—111189122
V. Khyzhnyak10
WSep 10 · 05:00V. Khyzhnyak1.80711118113Y. Urezchenko1.9111881192LSep 7 · 09:30V. Khyzhnyak1.7311591192Y. Urezchenko2.00611114113LSep 7 · 08:30V. Khyzhnyak5.00531261A. Lysyi1.14111110113WSep 7 · 07:00V. Khyzhnyak3.7511111113O. Badanin1.25991181LSep 7 · 06:00V. Khyzhnyak1.8361060S. Zherykhin1.831112113LSep 4 · 09:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.081111113V. Khyzhnyak7.005970LSep 4 · 07:30S. Honcharenko1.171111113V. Khyzhnyak4.507680LSep 4 · 06:00O. Badanin1.3311711113V. Khyzhnyak3.25411531LSep 4 · 05:00V. Kurliuk1.3071111133V. Khyzhnyak3.401157111WAug 17 · 09:59V. Khyzhnyak1.8011511123V. Yarovyi1.919119101
O. Shvydkyi10
WSep 10 · 05:30O. Shvydkyi2.2011129113V. Matviichuk1.614101181WAug 16 · 16:00V. Yarovyi4.501159101O. Shvydkyi1.1781111123LAug 16 · 14:30A. Lysyi1.401111113O. Shvydkyi2.759830LAug 16 · 13:00M. Zavoloka1.611111113O. Shvydkyi2.206950LAug 16 · 12:00A. Danylov3.407111011113O. Shvydkyi1.3011512882WAug 14 · 10:04S. Honcharenko1.6796111462O. Shvydkyi2.101111812113WAug 14 · 08:30O. Levytskyi1.40111191172O. Shvydkyi2.75136116113LAug 14 · 07:30O. Shvydkyi1.91861161S. Honcharenko1.8011116113WAug 14 · 05:30O. Shvydkyi2.5011412113V. Matviichuk1.504111061LAug 10 · 10:00O. Shvydkyi3.257460Y. Urezchenko1.331111113
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