TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105729
Played Sep 10Finished
Oleg Shvydkyi
Home
3.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
10121113411––––
Yurii Urezchenko
Away
1.29
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:34 and never touched — 79.4% is still 79.4%
Graded at full timeYurii Urezchenko to win
79.4%
79.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleg Shvydkyi above · Yurii Urezchenko below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 61 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Yurii Urezchenko at 79.4%
61 points played in total.
H2H Oleg Shvydkyi 3–13 Yurii Urezchenko Oleg Shvydkyi has won 3 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:34What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Urezchenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-13 in 16
Urezchenko
Correct
gap of 10 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Shvydkyi 1064 vs Urezchenko 1085
Urezchenko
Correct
both rated, 21 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shvydkyi 40% vs Urezchenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shvydkyi 40% vs Urezchenko 60%
Urezchenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Shvydkyi -1 · Urezchenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Urezchenko) · live re-read · sealed at 79% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Urezchenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShvydkyi 3.50 / Urezchenko 1.28
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Urezchenko)+3.5pp
Setka Cup · #13105729
Shvydkyi3.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog31% won 16 of 52
Down 0–1, comes back12% 4 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 21
Urezchenko1.28
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite69% won 59 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it94% 31 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it79% 42 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeShvydkyi2wins
AwayUrezchenko8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderUrezchenko leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShvydkyin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayUrezchenko75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shvydkyi2Urezchenko8n = 10Urezchenko took 8 of 10
S2Shvydkyi2Urezchenko8n = 10Urezchenko took 8 of 10
S3Shvydkyi3Urezchenko7n = 10Urezchenko took 7 of 10
S4Shvydkyi1Urezchenko4n = 5Urezchenko took 4 of 5
S5Shvydkyi2Urezchenko1n = 3Shvydkyi took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricShvydkyiUrezchenkoS − UBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match31.441.2−9.8per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShvydkyiUrezchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime60 / 167 vs 210 / 47235.9%44.5%60 / 167 vs 210 / 472Avg sets wonper match1.61.8per matchAvg pointsper match32.935.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UrezchenkoShvydkyi 3.50/Urezchenko 1.28
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.6%
Urezchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Urezchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 10 · 10:00O. Shvydkyi—7460Y. Urezchenko—1111113
LAug 10 · 05:00O. Shvydkyi—51050Y. Urezchenko—1112113
WJul 13 · 06:30O. Shvydkyi—814115163Y. Urezchenko—1112511142
WMay 29 · 05:00O. Shvydkyi—611711113Y. Urezchenko—11911992
LApr 8 · 06:30O. Shvydkyi—1181241Y. Urezchenko—91114113
LMar 23 · 07:30O. Shvydkyi—10820Y. Urezchenko—1211113
LMar 18 · 10:00O. Shvydkyi—13711852Y. Urezchenko—1111911113
LAug 27 · 09:58O. Shvydkyi—871491Y. Urezchenko—111112113
LAug 27 · 05:00O. Shvydkyi—9670Y. Urezchenko—1111113
LAug 26 · 08:00O. Shvydkyi—4860Y. Urezchenko—1111113
O. Shvydkyi10
LSep 10 · 10:03Y. Urezchenko1.251311113O. Shvydkyi3.7511450LSep 10 · 08:30S. Zherykhin2.2512811113O. Shvydkyi1.571011791LSep 10 · 06:30V. Khyzhnyak2.0011811113O. Shvydkyi1.73311281WSep 10 · 05:30O. Shvydkyi2.2011129113V. Matviichuk1.614101181WAug 16 · 16:00V. Yarovyi4.501159101O. Shvydkyi1.1781111123LAug 16 · 14:30A. Lysyi1.401111113O. Shvydkyi2.759830LAug 16 · 13:00M. Zavoloka1.611111113O. Shvydkyi2.206950LAug 16 · 12:00A. Danylov3.407111011113O. Shvydkyi1.3011512882WAug 14 · 10:04S. Honcharenko1.6796111462O. Shvydkyi2.101111812113WAug 14 · 08:30O. Levytskyi1.40111191172O. Shvydkyi2.75136116113
Y. Urezchenko10
WSep 10 · 10:03Y. Urezchenko1.251311113O. Shvydkyi3.7511450LSep 10 · 09:00V. Matviichuk1.4011111011133Y. Urezchenko2.75661213112WSep 10 · 06:00S. Zherykhin2.6371111121Y. Urezchenko1.4411713143LSep 10 · 05:00V. Khyzhnyak1.80711118113Y. Urezchenko1.9111881192WSep 8 · 09:30S. Honcharenko1.53116111062Y. Urezchenko2.38711512113LSep 8 · 08:00Y. Urezchenko2.753570V. Matviichuk1.401111113LSep 8 · 06:30Y. Urezchenko1.407650V. Hyriavyi2.751111113LSep 8 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko3.4059140M. Zavoloka1.301111163WSep 7 · 10:33A. Lysyi1.367690Y. Urezchenko3.001111113WSep 7 · 09:30V. Khyzhnyak1.7311591192Y. Urezchenko2.00611114113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.