TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13108763
Played Sep 10Finished
Yurii Urezchenko
Home
1.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1311114115––––
Oleg Shvydkyi
Away
3.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingYurii Urezchenko above · Oleg Shvydkyi below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 55 set 3, 11-5
55 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Urezchenko 13–3 Oleg Shvydkyi Oleg Shvydkyi has won 3 of their 16 meetings.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Urezchenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shvydkyi form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUrezchenko 1.25 / Shvydkyi 3.75
Signal prob.79% / 22%
Edge (Urezchenko)+3.5pp
Setka Cup · #13108763
Urezchenko1.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite69% won 59 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it94% 31 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it79% 42 of 53
Shvydkyi3.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog31% won 16 of 52
Down 0–1, comes back12% 4 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeUrezchenko8wins
AwayShvydkyi2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderUrezchenko leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUrezchenko75%6 of 8
AwayShvydkyin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Urezchenko8Shvydkyi2n = 10Urezchenko took 8 of 10
S2Urezchenko8Shvydkyi2n = 10Urezchenko took 8 of 10
S3Urezchenko7Shvydkyi3n = 10Urezchenko took 7 of 10
S4Urezchenko4Shvydkyi1n = 5Urezchenko took 4 of 5
S5Urezchenko1Shvydkyi2n = 3Shvydkyi took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricUrezchenkoShvydkyiU − SBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match41.231.4+9.8per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUrezchenkoShvydkyiBasisWin rate · lifetime210 / 472 vs 60 / 16744.5%35.9%210 / 472 vs 60 / 167Avg sets wonper match1.81.6per matchAvg pointsper match35.732.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UrezchenkoUrezchenko 1.25/Shvydkyi 3.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
78.5%
Urezchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Urezchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 10 · 10:00Y. Urezchenko—1111113O. Shvydkyi—7460
WAug 10 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko—1112113O. Shvydkyi—51050
LJul 13 · 06:30Y. Urezchenko—1112511142O. Shvydkyi—814115163
LMay 29 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko—11911992O. Shvydkyi—611711113
WApr 8 · 06:30Y. Urezchenko—91114113O. Shvydkyi—1181241
WMar 23 · 07:30Y. Urezchenko—1211113O. Shvydkyi—10820
WMar 18 · 10:00Y. Urezchenko—1111911113O. Shvydkyi—13711852
WAug 27 · 09:58Y. Urezchenko—111112113O. Shvydkyi—871491
WAug 27 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko—1111113O. Shvydkyi—9670
WAug 26 · 08:00Y. Urezchenko—1111113O. Shvydkyi—4860
Y. Urezchenko10
LSep 10 · 09:00V. Matviichuk1.4011111011133Y. Urezchenko2.75661213112WSep 10 · 07:30O. Shvydkyi3.50101140Y. Urezchenko1.281213113WSep 10 · 06:00S. Zherykhin2.6371111121Y. Urezchenko1.4411713143LSep 10 · 05:00V. Khyzhnyak1.80711118113Y. Urezchenko1.9111881192WSep 8 · 09:30S. Honcharenko1.53116111062Y. Urezchenko2.38711512113LSep 8 · 08:00Y. Urezchenko2.753570V. Matviichuk1.401111113LSep 8 · 06:30Y. Urezchenko1.407650V. Hyriavyi2.751111113LSep 8 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko3.4059140M. Zavoloka1.301111163WSep 7 · 10:33A. Lysyi1.367690Y. Urezchenko3.001111113WSep 7 · 09:30V. Khyzhnyak1.7311591192Y. Urezchenko2.00611114113
O. Shvydkyi10
LSep 10 · 08:30S. Zherykhin2.2512811113O. Shvydkyi1.571011791LSep 10 · 07:30O. Shvydkyi3.50101140Y. Urezchenko1.281213113LSep 10 · 06:30V. Khyzhnyak2.0011811113O. Shvydkyi1.73311281WSep 10 · 05:30O. Shvydkyi2.2011129113V. Matviichuk1.614101181WAug 16 · 16:00V. Yarovyi4.501159101O. Shvydkyi1.1781111123LAug 16 · 14:30A. Lysyi1.401111113O. Shvydkyi2.759830LAug 16 · 13:00M. Zavoloka1.611111113O. Shvydkyi2.206950LAug 16 · 12:00A. Danylov3.407111011113O. Shvydkyi1.3011512882WAug 14 · 10:04S. Honcharenko1.6796111462O. Shvydkyi2.101111812113WAug 14 · 08:30O. Levytskyi1.40111191172O. Shvydkyi2.75136116113
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