TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126469
Played Sep 14Finished
Stanislav Zherykhin
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511511111––––
Evgenii Bakin
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:52 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeEvgenii Bakin to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingStanislav Zherykhin above · Evgenii Bakin below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 1-11
Point 44 set 3, 1-11 — our read held Evgenii Bakin at 54.0%
44 points played in total.
H2H Stanislav Zherykhin 0–1 Evgenii Bakin Stanislav Zherykhin has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:52What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Bakin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Zherykhin 1028 vs Bakin 1266
Bakin
Correct
both rated, 238 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zherykhin 20% vs Bakin 40%
Bakin
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zherykhin 60% vs Bakin 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zherykhin -4 · Bakin -1
Zherykhin
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Bakin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bakin form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZherykhin 2.00 / Bakin 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Bakin)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13126469
Zherykhin2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog29% won 16 of 56
Down 0–1, comes back18% 7 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back16% 4 of 25
Bakin1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite71% won 24 of 34
Up 2–0, closes it100% 17 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it86% 19 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeZherykhin0wins
AwayBakin1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderBakin leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricZherykhinBakinZ − BBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match41.045.0−4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZherykhinBakinBasisWin rate · lifetime29 / 85 vs 62 / 10734.1%57.9%29 / 85 vs 62 / 107Avg sets wonper match1.62.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.735.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BakinZherykhin 2.00/Bakin 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Bakin · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Bakin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LApr 11 · 08:00S. Zherykhin41111161122E. Bakin45551113113
S. Zherykhin10
LSep 14 · 06:00S. Zherykhin1.672087111O. Shvydkyi2.10181111133LSep 13 · 16:59O. Levytskyi1.8311711113S. Zherykhin1.83911741LSep 13 · 16:30R. Sveshnykov1.1131111113S. Zherykhin6.00119991LSep 13 · 15:00S. Zherykhin1.281281191V. Khyzhnyak3.5014115113WSep 13 · 13:30S. Zherykhin1.67117114113A. Danylov2.1071171192WSep 13 · 12:00S. Zherykhin2.1061111113O. Levytskyi1.67113871WSep 10 · 10:34V. Khyzhnyak2.759280S. Zherykhin1.401111113WSep 10 · 09:30S. Zherykhin1.5711711113V. Khyzhnyak2.25611861WSep 10 · 08:30S. Zherykhin2.2512811113O. Shvydkyi1.571011791WSep 10 · 07:00S. Zherykhin2.631211113V. Matviichuk1.4410450
E. Bakin10
LSep 14 · 05:30A. Lysyi5.00114311113E. Bakin1.1491111762WAug 2 · 10:08E. Bakin1.67117117113S. Honcharenko2.1091141182WAug 2 · 08:58E. Bakin1.80111168113O. Levytskyi1.9169111142LAug 2 · 07:58S. Honcharenko2.501111123E. Bakin1.5084100LAug 2 · 06:58R. Sveshnykov1.6111811113E. Bakin2.20511811LAug 2 · 05:29I. Sorochan2.1011812113E. Bakin1.679111041WJun 27 · 10:15E. Bakin1.301111113A. Lysyi3.404790WJun 27 · 09:00E. Bakin1.14511117113A. Danylov5.0011651172WJun 27 · 08:00V. Khyzhnyak6.0051140E. Bakin1.111113113LJun 27 · 07:00D. Novik6.00711711113E. Bakin1.1111611742
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