TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122037
Played Sep 13Finished
Stanislav Zherykhin
Home
1.29
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1214811115911––
Volodymyr Khyzhnyak
Away
3.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:28 and never touched — 75.0% is still 75.0%
Graded at full timeStanislav Zherykhin to win
75.0%
75.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingStanislav Zherykhin above · Volodymyr Khyzhnyak below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 81 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Stanislav Zherykhin at 75.0%
81 points played in total.
H2H Stanislav Zherykhin 3–0 Volodymyr Khyzhnyak Volodymyr Khyzhnyak has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:28What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Zherykhin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Zherykhin
Wrong
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zherykhin 1056 vs Khyzhnyak 1050
Zherykhin
Wrong
both rated, 6 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zherykhin 100% vs Khyzhnyak 40%
Zherykhin
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zherykhin 70% vs Khyzhnyak 50%
Zherykhin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zherykhin +5 · Khyzhnyak -1
Zherykhin
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Zherykhin) · live re-read · sealed at 75% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khyzhnyak form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZherykhin 1.28 / Khyzhnyak 3.50
Signal prob.74% / 26%
Edge (Zherykhin)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13122037
Zherykhin1.28
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 10 of 16
Up 2–0, closes it86% 6 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it90% 9 of 10
Khyzhnyak3.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog27% won 23 of 85
Down 0–1, comes back10% 5 of 48
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeZherykhin3wins
AwayKhyzhnyak0wins
Zherykhin leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZherykhin100%3 of 3
AwayKhyzhnyakn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zherykhin3Khyzhnyak0n = 3Zherykhin took 3 of 3
S2Zherykhin2Khyzhnyak1n = 3Zherykhin took 2 of 3
S3Zherykhin3Khyzhnyak0n = 3Zherykhin took 3 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home267%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricZherykhinKhyzhnyakZ − KBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match35.724.0+11.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZherykhinKhyzhnyakBasisWin rate · lifetime29 / 81 vs 53 / 15935.8%33.3%29 / 81 vs 53 / 159Avg sets wonper match1.61.5per matchAvg pointsper match35.633.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZherykhinZherykhin 1.28/Khyzhnyak 3.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
73.9%
Zherykhin · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Khyzhnyak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 10 · 10:34S. Zherykhin331111113V. Khyzhnyak199280
WSep 10 · 09:30S. Zherykhin4011711113V. Khyzhnyak31611861
WSep 7 · 06:00S. Zherykhin341112113V. Khyzhnyak2261060
S. Zherykhin10
WSep 13 · 13:30S. Zherykhin1.67117114113A. Danylov2.1071171192WSep 13 · 12:00S. Zherykhin2.1061111113O. Levytskyi1.67113871WSep 10 · 10:34V. Khyzhnyak2.759280S. Zherykhin1.401111113WSep 10 · 09:30S. Zherykhin1.5711711113V. Khyzhnyak2.25611861WSep 10 · 08:30S. Zherykhin2.2512811113O. Shvydkyi1.571011791WSep 10 · 07:00S. Zherykhin2.631211113V. Matviichuk1.4410450LSep 10 · 06:00S. Zherykhin2.6371111121Y. Urezchenko1.4411713143LSep 7 · 09:00O. Badanin1.3311131110113S. Zherykhin3.2561551292LSep 7 · 07:30A. Lysyi1.7311811113S. Zherykhin2.00911481WSep 7 · 06:00V. Khyzhnyak1.8361060S. Zherykhin1.831112113
V. Khyzhnyak10
LSep 13 · 14:00R. Sveshnykov1.611111123V. Khyzhnyak2.2048100WSep 13 · 12:30A. Danylov2.5011121371V. Khyzhnyak1.5041415113LSep 10 · 10:34V. Khyzhnyak2.759280S. Zherykhin1.401111113LSep 10 · 09:30S. Zherykhin1.5711711113V. Khyzhnyak2.25611861WSep 10 · 08:00V. Khyzhnyak3.251111133V. Matviichuk1.3345110WSep 10 · 06:30V. Khyzhnyak2.0011811113O. Shvydkyi1.73311281WSep 10 · 05:00V. Khyzhnyak1.80711118113Y. Urezchenko1.9111881192LSep 7 · 09:30V. Khyzhnyak1.7311591192Y. Urezchenko2.00611114113LSep 7 · 08:30V. Khyzhnyak5.00531261A. Lysyi1.14111110113LSep 7 · 06:00V. Khyzhnyak1.8361060S. Zherykhin1.831112113
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