TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122424
Played Sep 13Finished
Roman Sveshnykov
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1141181210––––
Volodymyr Khyzhnyak
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:12 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeRoman Sveshnykov to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Sveshnykov above · Volodymyr Khyzhnyak below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 56 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Roman Sveshnykov at 55.3%
56 points played in total.
H2H Roman Sveshnykov 1–5 Volodymyr Khyzhnyak Roman Sveshnykov has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:12What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Sveshnykov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-5 in 6
Khyzhnyak
Wrong
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sveshnykov 1264 vs Khyzhnyak 1062
Sveshnykov
Correct
both rated, 202 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sveshnykov 60% vs Khyzhnyak 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sveshnykov 60% vs Khyzhnyak 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sveshnykov -1 · Khyzhnyak +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Sveshnykov) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khyzhnyak form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSveshnykov 1.61 / Khyzhnyak 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Sveshnykov)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13122424
Sveshnykov1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite80% won 32 of 40
Up 2–0, closes it95% 19 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it90% 26 of 29
Khyzhnyak2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog27% won 23 of 85
Down 0–1, comes back10% 5 of 48
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeSveshnykov1wins
AwayKhyzhnyak5wins
2 of 6 to a deciderKhyzhnyak leads 5–1, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSveshnykovn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKhyzhnyak75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sveshnykov2Khyzhnyak4n = 6Khyzhnyak took 4 of 6
S2Sveshnykov1Khyzhnyak5n = 6Khyzhnyak took 5 of 6
S3Sveshnykov2Khyzhnyak4n = 6Khyzhnyak took 4 of 6
S4Sveshnykov2Khyzhnyak3n = 5Khyzhnyak took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away350%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricSveshnykovKhyzhnyakS − KBasisWins15−4in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match37.341.3−4.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSveshnykovKhyzhnyakBasisWin rate · lifetime111 / 278 vs 53 / 15839.9%33.5%111 / 278 vs 53 / 158Avg sets wonper match1.71.5per matchAvg pointsper match35.033.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SveshnykovSveshnykov 1.61/Khyzhnyak 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Sveshnykov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sveshnykov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WApr 13 · 08:00R. Sveshnykov45511711113V. Khyzhnyak4311611872
LFeb 15 · 16:00R. Sveshnykov32961161V. Khyzhnyak351111493
LJan 28 · 11:01R. Sveshnykov3971011111V. Khyzhnyak4411128133
LJan 28 · 06:30R. Sveshnykov30116671V. Khyzhnyak4181111113
LJan 22 · 10:00R. Sveshnykov2811890V. Khyzhnyak351311113
LJan 16 · 07:00R. Sveshnykov50116911132V. Khyzhnyak50411119153
R. Sveshnykov10
LSep 13 · 13:00R. Sveshnykov1.61118661O. Levytskyi2.2071111103WSep 6 · 16:59V. Kurliuk1.251146111R. Sveshnykov3.7551111133WSep 6 · 16:00R. Sveshnykov3.75111138113V. Kurliuk1.2559111192LSep 6 · 15:00S. Honcharenko2.2511119123R. Sveshnykov1.577611101WSep 6 · 14:00Y. Urezchenko2.501411781R. Sveshnykov1.5016911113LSep 6 · 12:30I. Sorochan1.251181111113R. Sveshnykov3.7561113672WSep 5 · 17:04A. Lysyi3.2571161242R. Sveshnykov1.33119111063WSep 5 · 16:30R. Sveshnykov1.611171193S. Honcharenko2.20911671WSep 5 · 15:30R. Sveshnykov1.4081211113A. Lysyi2.751110581LSep 5 · 14:00R. Sveshnykov3.756990I. Sorochan1.251111113
V. Khyzhnyak10
WSep 13 · 12:30A. Danylov2.5011121371V. Khyzhnyak1.5041415113LSep 10 · 10:34V. Khyzhnyak2.759280S. Zherykhin1.401111113LSep 10 · 09:30S. Zherykhin1.5711711113V. Khyzhnyak2.25611861WSep 10 · 08:00V. Khyzhnyak3.251111133V. Matviichuk1.3345110WSep 10 · 06:30V. Khyzhnyak2.0011811113O. Shvydkyi1.73311281WSep 10 · 05:00V. Khyzhnyak1.80711118113Y. Urezchenko1.9111881192LSep 7 · 09:30V. Khyzhnyak1.7311591192Y. Urezchenko2.00611114113LSep 7 · 08:30V. Khyzhnyak5.00531261A. Lysyi1.14111110113WSep 7 · 07:00V. Khyzhnyak3.7511111113O. Badanin1.25991181LSep 7 · 06:00V. Khyzhnyak1.8361060S. Zherykhin1.831112113
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