TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122203
Played Sep 13Finished
Stanislav Zherykhin
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
117711117411119
Anton Danylov
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:06 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeStanislav Zherykhin to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingStanislav Zherykhin above · Anton Danylov below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 89 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Stanislav Zherykhin at 56.2%
89 points played in total.
H2H Stanislav Zherykhin 6–4 Anton Danylov Anton Danylov has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:06What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Zherykhin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-4 in 10
Zherykhin
Correct
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zherykhin 1045 vs Danylov 1057
Danylov
Wrong
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zherykhin 100% vs Danylov 40%
Zherykhin
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zherykhin 60% vs Danylov 40%
Zherykhin
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zherykhin +5 · Danylov -1
Zherykhin
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Zherykhin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zherykhin form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZherykhin 1.67 / Danylov 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Zherykhin)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13122203
Zherykhin1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 10 of 16
Up 2–0, closes it86% 6 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it90% 9 of 10
Danylov2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 27 of 82
Down 0–1, comes back12% 6 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZherykhin6wins
AwayDanylov4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderZherykhin leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZherykhin100%5 of 5
AwayDanylov80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zherykhin5Danylov5n = 10split evenly
S2Zherykhin4Danylov6n = 10Danylov took 6 of 10
S3Zherykhin7Danylov3n = 10Zherykhin took 7 of 10
S4Zherykhin4Danylov1n = 5Zherykhin took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricZherykhinDanylovZ − DBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.435.5−0.1per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZherykhinDanylovBasisWin rate · lifetime28 / 80 vs 38 / 12235%31.2%28 / 80 vs 38 / 122Avg sets wonper match1.61.5per matchAvg pointsper match35.533.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZherykhinZherykhin 1.67/Danylov 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Zherykhin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Zherykhin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 09:30S. Zherykhin4012511123A. Danylov3710116101
LAug 29 · 12:00S. Zherykhin23161151A. Danylov4211119113
LJul 26 · 12:00S. Zherykhin2151060A. Danylov341112113
WJul 19 · 16:30S. Zherykhin401811113A. Danylov2816750
WJul 12 · 14:30S. Zherykhin4111612123A. Danylov3981110101
WJun 7 · 05:00S. Zherykhin331111113A. Danylov238780
WMay 23 · 05:00S. Zherykhin50871111133A. Danylov48111178112
LApr 19 · 04:59S. Zherykhin4371181162A. Danylov46115118113
LApr 12 · 16:30S. Zherykhin258980A. Danylov331111113
WApr 11 · 05:00S. Zherykhin381413113A. Danylov25121120
S. Zherykhin10
WSep 13 · 12:00S. Zherykhin2.1061111113O. Levytskyi1.67113871WSep 10 · 10:34V. Khyzhnyak2.759280S. Zherykhin1.401111113WSep 10 · 09:30S. Zherykhin1.5711711113V. Khyzhnyak2.25611861WSep 10 · 08:30S. Zherykhin2.2512811113O. Shvydkyi1.571011791WSep 10 · 07:00S. Zherykhin2.631211113V. Matviichuk1.4410450LSep 10 · 06:00S. Zherykhin2.6371111121Y. Urezchenko1.4411713143LSep 7 · 09:00O. Badanin1.3311131110113S. Zherykhin3.2561551292LSep 7 · 07:30A. Lysyi1.7311811113S. Zherykhin2.00911481WSep 7 · 06:00V. Khyzhnyak1.8361060S. Zherykhin1.831112113LSep 7 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko1.611612113S. Zherykhin2.20141010
A. Danylov10
LSep 13 · 12:30A. Danylov2.5011121371V. Khyzhnyak1.5041415113WSep 6 · 09:58V. Hyriavyi1.5031191192A. Danylov2.50117114113LSep 6 · 09:30A. Danylov1.6710116101S. Zherykhin2.1012511123WSep 6 · 08:30A. Danylov2.25121182113A. Lysyi1.57108111182LSep 6 · 07:00A. Danylov2.25581241V. Hyriavyi1.57111110113LSep 6 · 06:00A. Danylov1.731171171V. Matviichuk2.0013115113WAug 29 · 17:35A. Danylov1.506111112113V. Yarovyi2.5011871432LAug 29 · 16:00O. Levytskyi1.73121111103A. Danylov2.001013981LAug 29 · 14:30A. Lysyi1.7371111123A. Danylov2.001183101WAug 29 · 13:00V. Yarovyi2.50711781A. Danylov1.5011311113
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