TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12349905
Played Aug 2Finished
Ihor Sorochan
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1198111210114––
Evgenii Bakin
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
How it is goingIhor Sorochan above · Evgenii Bakin below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 76 set 4, 11-4
76 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Sorochan 1–4 Evgenii Bakin Ihor Sorochan has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Bakin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bakin form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSorochan 2.10 / Bakin 1.67
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Bakin)+3.0pp
Setka Cup · #12349905
Sorochan2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 30 of 76
Down 0–1, comes back21% 10 of 47
Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 31
Bakin1.67
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite73% won 24 of 33
Up 2–0, closes it94% 17 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it82% 18 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeSorochan1wins
AwayBakin4wins
1 of 5 to a deciderBakin leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSorochann = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayBakin100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sorochan2Bakin3n = 5Bakin took 3 of 5
S2Sorochan2Bakin3n = 5Bakin took 3 of 5
S3Sorochan2Bakin3n = 5Bakin took 3 of 5
S4Sorochan1Bakin2n = 3Bakin took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricSorochanBakinS − BBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match33.638.4−4.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSorochanBakinBasisWin rate · lifetime284 / 473 vs 64 / 11060%58.2%284 / 473 vs 64 / 110Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.135.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BakinSorochan 2.10/Bakin 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.8%
Bakin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sorochan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LMay 18 · 05:30I. Sorochan431479131E. Bakin49121111153
LMar 14 · 07:30I. Sorochan1851030E. Bakin341112113
LMar 8 · 06:30I. Sorochan36911791E. Bakin3911611113
LJan 19 · 10:00I. Sorochan3743111182E. Bakin50111198113
WAug 6 · 05:30I. Sorochan341211113E. Bakin2010640
I. Sorochan10
WSep 9 · 10:10V. Kurliuk3.50811612112I. Sorochan1.251131110133LSep 9 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.731111113I. Sorochan2.007950WSep 9 · 07:30I. Sorochan1.251111113V. Kurliuk3.759590WSep 9 · 06:30M. Zavoloka1.8358111182I. Sorochan1.83111189113LSep 9 · 05:30I. Sorochan2.38961251S. Honcharenko1.53111110113LSep 7 · 16:00I. Sorochan3.0010630S. Sideltsev1.361211113LSep 7 · 15:00I. Dubinin1.8091411113I. Sorochan1.911112591LSep 7 · 14:00S. Honcharenko1.571111113I. Sorochan2.257360WSep 7 · 12:30N. Priadko2.201111391I. Sorochan1.6113711113LSep 6 · 17:29I. Sorochan1.9111111111S. Honcharenko1.8091313113
E. Bakin10
WSep 14 · 07:00S. Zherykhin2.005510E. Bakin1.731111113LSep 14 · 05:30A. Lysyi5.00114311113E. Bakin1.1491111762WAug 2 · 10:08E. Bakin1.67117117113S. Honcharenko2.1091141182WAug 2 · 08:58E. Bakin1.80111168113O. Levytskyi1.9169111142LAug 2 · 07:58S. Honcharenko2.501111123E. Bakin1.5084100LAug 2 · 06:58R. Sveshnykov1.6111811113E. Bakin2.20511811WJun 27 · 10:15E. Bakin1.301111113A. Lysyi3.404790WJun 27 · 09:00E. Bakin1.14511117113A. Danylov5.0011651172WJun 27 · 08:00V. Khyzhnyak6.0051140E. Bakin1.111113113LJun 27 · 07:00D. Novik6.00711711113E. Bakin1.1111611742
Upcoming Matches
I. Sorochan
Nothing scheduled
E. Bakin
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