TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13103427
Played Sep 9Finished
Valentyn Kurliuk
Home
3.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
81111361112101113
Ihor Sorochan
Away
1.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingValentyn Kurliuk above · Ihor Sorochan below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 96 set 5, 11-13
96 points played in total.
H2H Valentyn Kurliuk 0–11 Ihor Sorochan Valentyn Kurliuk has won 0 of their 11 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Sorochan beat Kurliuk 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Sorochan)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sorochan form (40%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurliuk 3.50 / Sorochan 1.25
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Sorochan)+3.5pp
Setka Cup · #13103427
Kurliuk3.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog13% won 5 of 39
Down 0–1, comes back3% 1 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 20
Sorochan1.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite67% won 70 of 105
Up 2–0, closes it93% 39 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it78% 57 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKurliuk0wins
AwaySorochan10wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSorochan leads 10–0, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKurliukn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwaySorochan100%9 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kurliuk1Sorochan9n = 10Sorochan took 9 of 10
S2Kurliuk2Sorochan8n = 10Sorochan took 8 of 10
S3Kurliuk2Sorochan8n = 10Sorochan took 8 of 10
S4Kurliuk1Sorochan4n = 5Sorochan took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricKurliukSorochanK − SBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match28.438.2−9.8per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurliukSorochanBasisWin rate · lifetime147 / 292 vs 248 / 44250.3%56.1%147 / 292 vs 248 / 442Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.636.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SorochanKurliuk 3.50/Sorochan 1.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.2%
Sorochan · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sorochan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 07:30V. Kurliuk—9590I. Sorochan—1111113
LAug 12 · 10:08V. Kurliuk—117891I. Sorochan—61111113
LAug 12 · 06:30V. Kurliuk—4760I. Sorochan—1111113
LJul 19 · 06:30V. Kurliuk—109100I. Sorochan—1211123
LJun 2 · 13:30V. Kurliuk—611511102I. Sorochan—117118123
LApr 20 · 06:30V. Kurliuk—115130I. Sorochan—1311153
LApr 2 · 06:30V. Kurliuk—371271I. Sorochan—111110113
LOct 19 · 14:00V. Kurliuk—1111671I. Sorochan—13811113
LOct 12 · 12:30V. Kurliuk—5760I. Sorochan—1111113
LSep 21 · 15:30V. Kurliuk—451161I. Sorochan—11113103
V. Kurliuk10
WSep 9 · 09:00S. Honcharenko1.91511481V. Kurliuk1.8011611113LSep 9 · 07:30I. Sorochan1.251111113V. Kurliuk3.759590LSep 9 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi2.6312711113V. Kurliuk1.441011931WSep 9 · 05:00M. Zavoloka1.8061111662V. Kurliuk1.91115911113LSep 6 · 16:59V. Kurliuk1.251146111R. Sveshnykov3.7551111133LSep 6 · 16:00R. Sveshnykov3.75111138113V. Kurliuk1.2559111192LSep 6 · 14:30I. Sorochan1.28111232V. Kurliuk3.5021030WSep 6 · 13:00Y. Urezchenko5.503520V. Kurliuk1.13111133LSep 6 · 12:00S. Honcharenko2.501111113V. Kurliuk1.508890WSep 4 · 10:39Y. Zvolynskyi2.254370V. Kurliuk1.571111113
I. Sorochan10
LSep 9 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.731111113I. Sorochan2.007950WSep 9 · 07:30I. Sorochan1.251111113V. Kurliuk3.759590WSep 9 · 06:30M. Zavoloka1.8358111182I. Sorochan1.83111189113LSep 9 · 05:30I. Sorochan2.38961251S. Honcharenko1.53111110113LSep 7 · 16:00I. Sorochan3.0010630S. Sideltsev1.361211113LSep 7 · 15:00I. Dubinin1.8091411113I. Sorochan1.911112591LSep 7 · 14:00S. Honcharenko1.571111113I. Sorochan2.257360WSep 7 · 12:30N. Priadko2.201111391I. Sorochan1.6113711113LSep 6 · 17:29I. Sorochan1.9111111111S. Honcharenko1.8091313113WSep 6 · 14:30I. Sorochan1.28111232V. Kurliuk3.5021030
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