TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12107846
Played Jun 27Finished
Evgenii Bakin
Home
1.14
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
511116115711117
Anton Danylov
Away
5.00
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 5
How it is goingEvgenii Bakin above · Anton Danylov below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 85 set 5, 11-7
85 points played in total.
H2H Evgenii Bakin 1–2 Anton Danylov Evgenii Bakin has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Signal confidence: 81% — Strong (leans Bakin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Danylov form (0%) is below what odds imply (20%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBakin 1.14 / Danylov 5.00
Signal prob.81% / 19%
Edge (Bakin)-0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12107846
Bakin1.14
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite72% won 31 of 43
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it90% 26 of 29
Danylov5.00
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog21% won 14 of 67
Down 0–1, comes back7% 3 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeBakin1wins
AwayDanylov2wins
Danylov leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBakin33.3%1 of 3
AwayDanylovn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bakin3Danylov0n = 3Bakin took 3 of 3
S2Bakin1Danylov2n = 3Danylov took 2 of 3
S3Bakin1Danylov2n = 3Danylov took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away267%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricBakinDanylovB − DBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match29.733.0−3.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBakinDanylovBasisWin rate · lifetime70 / 139 vs 18 / 8250.4%22%70 / 139 vs 18 / 82Avg sets wonper match1.91.3per matchAvg pointsper match33.932.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BakinBakin 1.14/Danylov 5.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
81.4%
Bakin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Bakin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WMay 1 · 14:00E. Bakin351111133A. Danylov2559110
LApr 11 · 09:00E. Bakin28118631A. Danylov3741111113
LMar 22 · 09:00E. Bakin26116451A. Danylov3741111113
E. Bakin10
WSep 14 · 07:00S. Zherykhin2.005510E. Bakin1.731111113LSep 14 · 05:30A. Lysyi5.00114311113E. Bakin1.1491111762WAug 2 · 10:08E. Bakin1.67117117113S. Honcharenko2.1091141182WAug 2 · 08:58E. Bakin1.80111168113O. Levytskyi1.9169111142LAug 2 · 07:58S. Honcharenko2.501111123E. Bakin1.5084100LAug 2 · 06:58R. Sveshnykov1.6111811113E. Bakin2.20511811LAug 2 · 05:29I. Sorochan2.1011812113E. Bakin1.679111041WJun 27 · 10:15E. Bakin1.301111113A. Lysyi3.404790WJun 27 · 08:00V. Khyzhnyak6.0051140E. Bakin1.111113113LJun 27 · 07:00D. Novik6.00711711113E. Bakin1.1111611742
A. Danylov10
LSep 13 · 17:29A. Danylov3.255111131R. Sveshnykov1.3311813113WSep 13 · 15:30R. Sveshnykov1.25141151162A. Danylov3.75164116113WSep 13 · 14:30A. Danylov2.50111193O. Levytskyi1.507770LSep 13 · 13:30S. Zherykhin1.67117114113A. Danylov2.1071171192LSep 13 · 12:30A. Danylov2.5011121371V. Khyzhnyak1.5041415113WSep 6 · 09:58V. Hyriavyi1.5031191192A. Danylov2.50117114113LSep 6 · 09:30A. Danylov1.6710116101S. Zherykhin2.1012511123WSep 6 · 08:30A. Danylov2.25121182113A. Lysyi1.57108111182LSep 6 · 07:00A. Danylov2.25581241V. Hyriavyi1.57111110113LSep 6 · 06:00A. Danylov1.731171171V. Matviichuk2.0013115113
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