TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13121780
Played Sep 13Finished
Anton Danylov
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
11711797––––
Oleksandr Levytskyi
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:50 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Levytskyi to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAnton Danylov above · Oleksandr Levytskyi below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 9-7
Point 52 set 3, 9-7 — our read held Oleksandr Levytskyi at 58.5%
52 points played in total.
H2H Anton Danylov 4–3 Oleksandr Levytskyi Oleksandr Levytskyi has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:50What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Levytskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Danylov 1045 vs Levytskyi 1207
Levytskyi
Wrong
both rated, 162 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Danylov 40% vs Levytskyi 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Danylov 30% vs Levytskyi 60%
Levytskyi
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Danylov -2 · Levytskyi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Levytskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Levytskyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDanylov 2.50 / Levytskyi 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Levytskyi)-0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13121780
Danylov2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 27 of 82
Down 0–1, comes back12% 6 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 30
Levytskyi1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 24 of 38
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it94% 17 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeDanylov4wins
AwayLevytskyi3wins
1 of 7 to a deciderDanylov leads 4–3, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDanylov80%4 of 5
AwayLevytskyin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Danylov5Levytskyi2n = 7Danylov took 5 of 7
S2Danylov5Levytskyi2n = 7Danylov took 5 of 7
S3Danylov2Levytskyi5n = 7Levytskyi took 5 of 7
S4Danylov2Levytskyi4n = 6Levytskyi took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away343%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricDanylovLevytskyiD − LBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set52+3of 7Avg pointsper match40.937.9+3.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDanylovLevytskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime38 / 123 vs 133 / 30930.9%43%38 / 123 vs 133 / 309Avg sets wonper match1.51.8per matchAvg pointsper match33.635.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LevytskyiDanylov 2.50/Levytskyi 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.1%
Levytskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Danylov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LAug 29 · 16:00A. Danylov401013981O. Levytskyi44121111103
WJul 26 · 14:30A. Danylov43111110113O. Levytskyi37971291
LJul 19 · 13:30A. Danylov33511891O. Levytskyi4011711113
WJun 6 · 13:30A. Danylov6111111414113O. Levytskyi5088161622
LMar 29 · 17:30A. Danylov32118581O. Levytskyi4291111113
WMar 29 · 15:00A. Danylov4413111193O. Levytskyi361113751
WFeb 15 · 14:00A. Danylov331111113O. Levytskyi164840
A. Danylov10
LSep 13 · 13:30S. Zherykhin1.67117114113A. Danylov2.1071171192LSep 13 · 12:30A. Danylov2.5011121371V. Khyzhnyak1.5041415113WSep 6 · 09:58V. Hyriavyi1.5031191192A. Danylov2.50117114113LSep 6 · 09:30A. Danylov1.6710116101S. Zherykhin2.1012511123WSep 6 · 08:30A. Danylov2.25121182113A. Lysyi1.57108111182LSep 6 · 07:00A. Danylov2.25581241V. Hyriavyi1.57111110113LSep 6 · 06:00A. Danylov1.731171171V. Matviichuk2.0013115113WAug 29 · 17:35A. Danylov1.506111112113V. Yarovyi2.5011871432LAug 29 · 16:00O. Levytskyi1.73121111103A. Danylov2.001013981LAug 29 · 14:30A. Lysyi1.7371111123A. Danylov2.001183101
O. Levytskyi10
WSep 13 · 13:00R. Sveshnykov1.61118661O. Levytskyi2.2071111103LSep 13 · 12:00S. Zherykhin2.1061111113O. Levytskyi1.67113871LSep 3 · 17:33O. Levytskyi1.4491070R. Sveshnykov2.631112113WSep 3 · 15:30R. Sveshnykov2.2548120O. Levytskyi1.571111143LSep 3 · 14:30O. Levytskyi3.5091261192R. Hryhoriev1.281110119113LSep 3 · 13:30N. Priadko1.53115711153O. Levytskyi2.38811118132WSep 3 · 12:30O. Levytskyi4.50111148133S. Sideltsev1.17791111112WAug 29 · 17:03O. Levytskyi1.401111113A. Lysyi2.753580WAug 29 · 16:00O. Levytskyi1.73121111103A. Danylov2.001013981WAug 29 · 15:00S. Zherykhin1.8367111162O. Levytskyi1.8311117693
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