TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12111476
Played Jun 27Finished
Evgenii Bakin
Home
1.30
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114117119––––
Anatoliy Lysyi
Away
3.40
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
How it is goingEvgenii Bakin above · Anatoliy Lysyi below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 53 set 3, 11-9
53 points played in total.
H2H Evgenii Bakin 4–1 Anatoliy Lysyi Anatoliy Lysyi has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Bakin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lysyi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBakin 1.30 / Lysyi 3.40
Signal prob.76% / 24%
Edge (Bakin)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #12111476
Bakin1.30
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite72% won 31 of 43
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it90% 26 of 29
Lysyi3.40
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog27% won 33 of 122
Down 0–1, comes back10% 7 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeBakin4wins
AwayLysyi1wins
Bakin leads 4–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBakin100%3 of 3
AwayLysyin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bakin3Lysyi2n = 5Bakin took 3 of 5
S2Bakin3Lysyi2n = 5Bakin took 3 of 5
S3Bakin4Lysyi1n = 5Bakin took 4 of 5
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home240%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricBakinLysyiB − LBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match35.829.4+6.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBakinLysyiBasisWin rate · lifetime70 / 139 vs 215 / 52450.4%41%70 / 139 vs 215 / 524Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match33.935.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BakinBakin 1.30/Lysyi 3.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.3%
Bakin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Bakin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LMay 18 · 09:00E. Bakin239950A. Lysyi331111113
WMay 1 · 17:39E. Bakin4291111113A. Lysyi24116341
WMay 1 · 15:30E. Bakin341211113A. Lysyi2410860
WApr 11 · 05:30E. Bakin421111203A. Lysyi3057180
WDec 6 · 07:00E. Bakin3811511113A. Lysyi36911881
E. Bakin10
WSep 14 · 07:00S. Zherykhin2.005510E. Bakin1.731111113LSep 14 · 05:30A. Lysyi5.00114311113E. Bakin1.1491111762WAug 2 · 10:08E. Bakin1.67117117113S. Honcharenko2.1091141182WAug 2 · 08:58E. Bakin1.80111168113O. Levytskyi1.9169111142LAug 2 · 07:58S. Honcharenko2.501111123E. Bakin1.5084100LAug 2 · 06:58R. Sveshnykov1.6111811113E. Bakin2.20511811LAug 2 · 05:29I. Sorochan2.1011812113E. Bakin1.679111041WJun 27 · 09:00E. Bakin1.14511117113A. Danylov5.0011651172WJun 27 · 08:00V. Khyzhnyak6.0051140E. Bakin1.111113113LJun 27 · 07:00D. Novik6.00711711113E. Bakin1.1111611742
A. Lysyi10
WSep 14 · 06:30O. Badanin1.579470A. Lysyi2.251111113WSep 14 · 05:30A. Lysyi5.00114311113E. Bakin1.1491111762LSep 7 · 10:33A. Lysyi1.367690Y. Urezchenko3.001111113WSep 7 · 08:30V. Khyzhnyak5.00531261A. Lysyi1.14111110113WSep 7 · 07:30A. Lysyi1.7311811113S. Zherykhin2.00911481LSep 7 · 06:30Y. Urezchenko3.25111145133A. Lysyi1.33691111112WSep 7 · 05:30A. Lysyi2.7511119113O. Badanin1.40991171LSep 6 · 08:30A. Danylov2.25121182113A. Lysyi1.57108111182LSep 6 · 07:30A. Lysyi1.834550V. Matviichuk1.831111113WSep 6 · 06:30S. Zherykhin2.0011991162A. Lysyi1.73111115113
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