Evgenii Bakin vs Serhii Honcharenko 3-2

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka CupMatch #12350690

Played Aug 2Finished

Evgenii Bakin

Home

1.67

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

119711114711118

Serhii Honcharenko

Away

2.10

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 1

How it is goingEvgenii Bakin above · Serhii Honcharenko below

Set 1 · 11-9

Set 2 · 7-11

Set 3 · 11-4

Set 4 · 7-11

Set 5 · 11-8

Point 90 set 5, 11-8

90 points played in total.

H2H Evgenii Bakin 9–6 Serhii Honcharenko Serhii Honcharenko has won 6 of their 15 meetings.

Last 10 · 7–3Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Bakin)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Bakin form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsBakin 1.67 / Honcharenko 2.10

Signal prob.57% / 43%

Edge (Bakin)+1.0pp

Setka Cup · #12350690

Bakin1.67

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite73% won 24 of 33

Up 2–0, closes it94% 17 of 18

Up 1–0, closes it82% 18 of 22

Honcharenko2.10

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog36% won 56 of 155

Down 0–1, comes back21% 20 of 95

Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 62

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeBakin7wins

AwayHoncharenko3wins

4 of 10 to a deciderBakin leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeBakin80%4 of 5

AwayHoncharenko40%2 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Bakin5Honcharenko5n = 10split evenly

S2Bakin2Honcharenko8n = 10Honcharenko took 8 of 10

S3Bakin7Honcharenko3n = 10Bakin took 7 of 10

S4Bakin4Honcharenko3n = 7Bakin took 4 of 7

S5Bakin4Honcharenko0n = 4Bakin took 4 of 4

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home440%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away220%

These 10 meetings

MetricBakinHoncharenkoB − HBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.939.5−0.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricBakinHoncharenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime65 / 114 vs 404 / 82557%49%65 / 114 vs 404 / 825Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match34.936.6per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Bakin

Bakin 1.67/Honcharenko 2.10

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

56.8%

Bakin · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Bakin won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

LAug 2 · 07:58E. Bakin2284100S. Honcharenko341111123

WMay 29 · 05:30E. Bakin46751111123S. Honcharenko45111158102

WMay 1 · 16:30E. Bakin46101311123S. Honcharenko4112118101

WJan 28 · 11:30E. Bakin46111212113S. Honcharenko388141061

WJan 28 · 06:00E. Bakin44117114113S. Honcharenko4581171182

WJan 5 · 06:30E. Bakin44113118113S. Honcharenko3881131152

LJan 3 · 09:00E. Bakin33141360S. Honcharenko421615113

WOct 29 · 10:54E. Bakin48761113113S. Honcharenko51111191192

WOct 29 · 09:57E. Bakin331111113S. Honcharenko195860

LOct 27 · 07:00E. Bakin27118351S. Honcharenko4291111113

E. Bakin10

WSep 14 · 07:00S. Zherykhin2.005510E. Bakin1.731111113 LSep 14 · 05:30A. Lysyi5.00114311113E. Bakin1.1491111762 WAug 2 · 08:58E. Bakin1.80111168113O. Levytskyi1.9169111142 LAug 2 · 07:58S. Honcharenko2.501111123E. Bakin1.5084100 LAug 2 · 06:58R. Sveshnykov1.6111811113E. Bakin2.20511811 LAug 2 · 05:29I. Sorochan2.1011812113E. Bakin1.679111041 WJun 27 · 10:15E. Bakin1.301111113A. Lysyi3.404790 WJun 27 · 09:00E. Bakin1.14511117113A. Danylov5.0011651172 WJun 27 · 08:00V. Khyzhnyak6.0051140E. Bakin1.111113113 LJun 27 · 07:00D. Novik6.00711711113E. Bakin1.1111611742

S. Honcharenko10

LSep 11 · 10:10S. Honcharenko2.009980N. Priadko1.731111113 LSep 11 · 09:00S. Sideltsev1.251111113S. Honcharenko3.757390 WSep 11 · 07:30V. Simchuk1.67811561S. Honcharenko2.1011311113 WSep 11 · 06:00N. Priadko1.4011580S. Honcharenko2.751311113 LSep 11 · 05:00M. Pohorilyi1.221112113S. Honcharenko4.0051040 LSep 9 · 10:33S. Honcharenko2.6381111782Y. Zvolynskyi1.44117311113 LSep 9 · 09:00S. Honcharenko1.91511481V. Kurliuk1.8011611113 WSep 9 · 08:00M. Zavoloka1.5041280S. Honcharenko2.501114113 WSep 9 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.506480S. Honcharenko2.501111113 WAug 2 · 07:58S. Honcharenko2.501111123E. Bakin1.5084100

Upcoming Matches

E. Bakin

Sep 14 · 08:00E. Bakin1.53O. Badanin2.38—Sep 14 · 09:00E. Bakin1.30O. Shvydkyi3.40—

S. Honcharenko

Nothing scheduled

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Decision Summary

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