TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13114314
Played Sep 11Finished
Serhii Honcharenko
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911911811––––
Nikita Priadko
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingSerhii Honcharenko above · Nikita Priadko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 59 set 3, 8-11
59 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Honcharenko 2–1 Nikita Priadko Nikita Priadko has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Honcharenko beat Priadko 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Priadko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Priadko form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHoncharenko 2.00 / Priadko 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Priadko)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13114314
Honcharenko2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 77 of 185
Down 0–1, comes back23% 24 of 106
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 60
Priadko1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite33% won 5 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeHoncharenko2wins
AwayPriadko1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderHoncharenko leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Honcharenko2Priadko1n = 3Honcharenko took 2 of 3
S2Honcharenko1Priadko2n = 3Priadko took 2 of 3
S3Honcharenko1Priadko2n = 3Priadko took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricHoncharenkoPriadkoH − PBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match37.734.7+3.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHoncharenkoPriadkoBasisWin rate · lifetime437 / 842 vs 8 / 2651.9%30.8%437 / 842 vs 8 / 26Avg sets wonper match2.01.5per matchAvg pointsper match36.933.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PriadkoHoncharenko 2.00/Priadko 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Priadko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Priadko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 11 · 06:00S. Honcharenko—1311113N. Priadko—11580
LSep 7 · 17:39S. Honcharenko—11890N. Priadko—1311113
WSep 7 · 15:30S. Honcharenko—1161011123N. Priadko—411128102
S. Honcharenko10
LSep 11 · 09:00S. Sideltsev1.251111113S. Honcharenko3.757390WSep 11 · 07:30V. Simchuk1.67811561S. Honcharenko2.1011311113WSep 11 · 06:00N. Priadko1.4011580S. Honcharenko2.751311113LSep 11 · 05:00M. Pohorilyi1.221112113S. Honcharenko4.0051040LSep 9 · 10:33S. Honcharenko2.6381111782Y. Zvolynskyi1.44117311113LSep 9 · 09:00S. Honcharenko1.91511481V. Kurliuk1.8011611113WSep 9 · 08:00M. Zavoloka1.5041280S. Honcharenko2.501114113WSep 9 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.506480S. Honcharenko2.501111113WSep 9 · 05:30I. Sorochan2.38961251S. Honcharenko1.53111110113LSep 8 · 10:33M. Zavoloka1.5714711113S. Honcharenko2.251211491
N. Priadko10
WSep 11 · 09:30N. Priadko3.00114711123M. Pohorilyi1.36811119102LSep 11 · 08:30N. Priadko2.2551181442V. Simchuk1.57119111263LSep 11 · 07:00N. Priadko2.5041113692S. Sideltsev1.501181111113LSep 11 · 06:00N. Priadko1.4011580S. Honcharenko2.751311113WSep 7 · 17:39N. Priadko1.611311113S. Honcharenko2.2011890LSep 7 · 15:30S. Honcharenko2.101161011123N. Priadko1.67411128102WSep 7 · 14:30N. Priadko3.2511111113S. Sideltsev1.33891171WSep 7 · 13:30I. Dubinin1.83114891N. Priadko1.8381111113LSep 7 · 12:30N. Priadko2.201111391I. Sorochan1.6113711113LSep 5 · 09:30N. Priadko2.759290D. Tsys1.401111113
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