TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111142
Played Sep 11Finished
Nikita Priadko
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1113511811––––
Serhii Honcharenko
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:28 and never touched — 63.5% is still 63.5%
Graded at full timeNikita Priadko to win
63.5%
63.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingNikita Priadko above · Serhii Honcharenko below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 59 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Nikita Priadko at 63.5%
59 points played in total.
H2H Nikita Priadko 1–2 Serhii Honcharenko Nikita Priadko has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:28What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Priadko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Priadko 1258 vs Honcharenko 1374
Honcharenko
Correct
both rated, 116 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Priadko 60% vs Honcharenko 40%
Priadko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Priadko 30% vs Honcharenko 50%
Honcharenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Priadko +1 · Honcharenko -3
Honcharenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Priadko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Priadko form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPriadko 1.40 / Honcharenko 2.75
Signal prob.64% / 37%
Edge (Priadko)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13111142
Priadko1.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite33% won 5 of 15
Honcharenko2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 77 of 185
Down 0–1, comes back23% 24 of 106
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomePriadko1wins
AwayHoncharenko2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderHoncharenko leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Priadko1Honcharenko2n = 3Honcharenko took 2 of 3
S2Priadko2Honcharenko1n = 3Priadko took 2 of 3
S3Priadko2Honcharenko1n = 3Priadko took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricPriadkoHoncharenkoP − HBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match34.737.7−3.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPriadkoHoncharenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime7 / 24 vs 437 / 84129.2%52%7 / 24 vs 437 / 841Avg sets wonper match1.42.0per matchAvg pointsper match32.836.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PriadkoPriadko 1.40/Honcharenko 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.5%
Priadko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Honcharenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 11 · 06:00N. Priadko—11580S. Honcharenko—1311113
WSep 7 · 17:39N. Priadko—1311113S. Honcharenko—11890
LSep 7 · 15:30N. Priadko—411128102S. Honcharenko—1161011123
N. Priadko10
WSep 7 · 17:39N. Priadko1.611311113S. Honcharenko2.2011890LSep 7 · 15:30S. Honcharenko2.101161011123N. Priadko1.67411128102WSep 7 · 14:30N. Priadko3.2511111113S. Sideltsev1.33891171WSep 7 · 13:30I. Dubinin1.83114891N. Priadko1.8381111113LSep 7 · 12:30N. Priadko2.201111391I. Sorochan1.6113711113LSep 5 · 09:30N. Priadko2.759290D. Tsys1.401111113LSep 5 · 08:30N. Priadko1.834370M. Pohorilyi1.831111113LSep 5 · 07:00N. Priadko3.4011711642S. Sideltsev1.30611911113LSep 5 · 06:00N. Priadko3.2510890O. Torianyk1.331211113LSep 3 · 16:30R. Sveshnykov2.3811119113N. Priadko1.53791191
S. Honcharenko10
WSep 11 · 07:30V. Simchuk1.67811561S. Honcharenko2.1011311113LSep 11 · 05:00M. Pohorilyi1.221112113S. Honcharenko4.0051040LSep 9 · 10:33S. Honcharenko2.6381111782Y. Zvolynskyi1.44117311113LSep 9 · 09:00S. Honcharenko1.91511481V. Kurliuk1.8011611113WSep 9 · 08:00M. Zavoloka1.5041280S. Honcharenko2.501114113WSep 9 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.506480S. Honcharenko2.501111113WSep 9 · 05:30I. Sorochan2.38961251S. Honcharenko1.53111110113LSep 8 · 10:33M. Zavoloka1.5714711113S. Honcharenko2.251211491LSep 7 · 17:39N. Priadko1.611311113S. Honcharenko2.2011890WSep 7 · 15:30S. Honcharenko2.101161011123N. Priadko1.67411128102
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