TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12350174
Played Aug 2Finished
Roman Sveshnykov
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115811118111––
Evgenii Bakin
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingRoman Sveshnykov above · Evgenii Bakin below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-1
Point 66 set 4, 11-1
66 points played in total.
H2H Roman Sveshnykov 5–1 Evgenii Bakin Evgenii Bakin has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Sveshnykov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bakin form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSveshnykov 1.61 / Bakin 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Sveshnykov)+3.0pp
Setka Cup · #12350174
Sveshnykov1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite80% won 28 of 35
Up 2–0, closes it95% 19 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it84% 21 of 25
Bakin2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 7 of 20
Down 0–1, comes back20% 2 of 10
Down 0–2, comes back13% 1 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeSveshnykov5wins
AwayBakin1wins
1 of 6 to a deciderSveshnykov leads 5–1, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSveshnykov100%5 of 5
AwayBakinn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sveshnykov5Bakin1n = 6Sveshnykov took 5 of 6
S2Sveshnykov3Bakin3n = 6split evenly
S3Sveshnykov4Bakin2n = 6Sveshnykov took 4 of 6
S4Sveshnykov5Bakin0n = 5Sveshnykov took 5 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home467%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricSveshnykovBakinS − BBasisWins51+4in 6 meetingsFirst set51+4of 6Avg pointsper match40.231.2+9.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSveshnykovBakinBasisWin rate · lifetime94 / 247 vs 66 / 11538.1%57.4%94 / 247 vs 66 / 115Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match34.635.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SveshnykovSveshnykov 1.61/Bakin 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.7%
Sveshnykov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sveshnykov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 2 · 06:58R. Sveshnykov4111811113E. Bakin25511811
WApr 11 · 10:31R. Sveshnykov4211911113E. Bakin24511621
WApr 11 · 07:00R. Sveshnykov331111113E. Bakin177280
WMar 22 · 07:30R. Sveshnykov4111117123E. Bakin389811101
WJan 28 · 08:30R. Sveshnykov4011711113E. Bakin34911681
LJan 16 · 08:00R. Sveshnykov44121351132E. Bakin491411112113
R. Sveshnykov10
WSep 13 · 17:29A. Danylov3.255111131R. Sveshnykov1.3311813113WSep 13 · 16:30R. Sveshnykov1.1131111113S. Zherykhin6.00119991LSep 13 · 15:30R. Sveshnykov1.25141151162A. Danylov3.75164116113WSep 13 · 14:00R. Sveshnykov1.611111123V. Khyzhnyak2.2048100LSep 13 · 13:00R. Sveshnykov1.61118661O. Levytskyi2.2071111103WSep 6 · 16:59V. Kurliuk1.251146111R. Sveshnykov3.7551111133WSep 6 · 16:00R. Sveshnykov3.75111138113V. Kurliuk1.2559111192LSep 6 · 15:00S. Honcharenko2.2511119123R. Sveshnykov1.577611101WSep 6 · 14:00Y. Urezchenko2.501411781R. Sveshnykov1.5016911113LSep 6 · 12:30I. Sorochan1.251181111113R. Sveshnykov3.7561113672
E. Bakin10
WSep 14 · 07:00S. Zherykhin2.005510E. Bakin1.731111113LSep 14 · 05:30A. Lysyi5.00114311113E. Bakin1.1491111762WAug 2 · 10:08E. Bakin1.67117117113S. Honcharenko2.1091141182WAug 2 · 08:58E. Bakin1.80111168113O. Levytskyi1.9169111142LAug 2 · 07:58S. Honcharenko2.501111123E. Bakin1.5084100LAug 2 · 05:29I. Sorochan2.1011812113E. Bakin1.679111041WJun 27 · 10:15E. Bakin1.301111113A. Lysyi3.404790WJun 27 · 09:00E. Bakin1.14511117113A. Danylov5.0011651172WJun 27 · 08:00V. Khyzhnyak6.0051140E. Bakin1.111113113LJun 27 · 07:00D. Novik6.00711711113E. Bakin1.1111611742
Upcoming Matches
R. Sveshnykov
Nothing scheduled
E. Bakin
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