TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13125816
Played Sep 13Finished
Anton Danylov
Home
3.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
5111181113311––
Roman Sveshnykov
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingAnton Danylov above · Roman Sveshnykov below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 73 set 4, 3-11
73 points played in total.
H2H Anton Danylov 4–7 Roman Sveshnykov Anton Danylov has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Danylov beat Sveshnykov 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Sveshnykov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sveshnykov form (60%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDanylov 3.25 / Sveshnykov 1.33
Signal prob.24% / 76%
Edge (Sveshnykov)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #13125816
Danylov3.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 27 of 82
Down 0–1, comes back12% 6 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 30
Sveshnykov1.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite80% won 32 of 40
Up 2–0, closes it95% 19 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it90% 26 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDanylov3wins
AwaySveshnykov7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSveshnykov leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDanylov40%2 of 5
AwaySveshnykov80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Danylov5Sveshnykov5n = 10split evenly
S2Danylov1Sveshnykov9n = 10Sveshnykov took 9 of 10
S3Danylov5Sveshnykov5n = 10split evenly
S4Danylov3Sveshnykov5n = 8Sveshnykov took 5 of 8
S5Danylov2Sveshnykov2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDanylovSveshnykovD − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.841.1−3.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDanylovSveshnykovBasisWin rate · lifetime40 / 125 vs 113 / 28132%40.2%40 / 125 vs 113 / 281Avg sets wonper match1.51.7per matchAvg pointsper match33.735.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SveshnykovDanylov 3.25/Sveshnykov 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.4%
Sveshnykov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sveshnykov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 15:30A. Danylov48164116113R. Sveshnykov47141151162
LJun 6 · 12:00A. Danylov4559121182R. Sveshnykov491111106113
LApr 11 · 06:00A. Danylov32761271R. Sveshnykov43111110113
LMar 29 · 11:58A. Danylov4314910101R. Sveshnykov47121112123
LMar 22 · 11:18A. Danylov2394100R. Sveshnykov341111123
LMar 22 · 06:30A. Danylov249690R. Sveshnykov331111113
LMar 8 · 17:30A. Danylov40111121062R. Sveshnykov47851112113
LMar 1 · 10:30A. Danylov331181041R. Sveshnykov4171112113
WFeb 15 · 13:00A. Danylov511081111113R. Sveshnykov3912116552
WFeb 13 · 15:00A. Danylov3911711103R. Sveshnykov31611681
A. Danylov10
WSep 13 · 15:30R. Sveshnykov1.25141151162A. Danylov3.75164116113WSep 13 · 14:30A. Danylov2.50111193O. Levytskyi1.507770LSep 13 · 13:30S. Zherykhin1.67117114113A. Danylov2.1071171192LSep 13 · 12:30A. Danylov2.5011121371V. Khyzhnyak1.5041415113WSep 6 · 09:58V. Hyriavyi1.5031191192A. Danylov2.50117114113LSep 6 · 09:30A. Danylov1.6710116101S. Zherykhin2.1012511123WSep 6 · 08:30A. Danylov2.25121182113A. Lysyi1.57108111182LSep 6 · 07:00A. Danylov2.25581241V. Hyriavyi1.57111110113LSep 6 · 06:00A. Danylov1.731171171V. Matviichuk2.0013115113WAug 29 · 17:35A. Danylov1.506111112113V. Yarovyi2.5011871432
R. Sveshnykov10
WSep 13 · 16:30R. Sveshnykov1.1131111113S. Zherykhin6.00119991LSep 13 · 15:30R. Sveshnykov1.25141151162A. Danylov3.75164116113WSep 13 · 14:00R. Sveshnykov1.611111123V. Khyzhnyak2.2048100LSep 13 · 13:00R. Sveshnykov1.61118661O. Levytskyi2.2071111103WSep 6 · 16:59V. Kurliuk1.251146111R. Sveshnykov3.7551111133WSep 6 · 16:00R. Sveshnykov3.75111138113V. Kurliuk1.2559111192LSep 6 · 15:00S. Honcharenko2.2511119123R. Sveshnykov1.577611101WSep 6 · 14:00Y. Urezchenko2.501411781R. Sveshnykov1.5016911113LSep 6 · 12:30I. Sorochan1.251181111113R. Sveshnykov3.7561113672WSep 5 · 17:04A. Lysyi3.2571161242R. Sveshnykov1.33119111063
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