TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13121879
Played Sep 13Finished
Roman Sveshnykov
Home
1.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1416114511116611
Anton Danylov
Away
3.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:59 and never touched — 76.6% is still 76.6%
Graded at full timeRoman Sveshnykov to win
76.6%
76.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRoman Sveshnykov above · Anton Danylov below
Set 1 · 14-16
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 95 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Roman Sveshnykov at 76.6%
95 points played in total.
H2H Roman Sveshnykov 7–3 Anton Danylov Anton Danylov has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:59What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Sveshnykov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-3 in 10
Sveshnykov
Wrong
gap of 4 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sveshnykov 1276 vs Danylov 1080
Sveshnykov
Wrong
both rated, 195 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sveshnykov 60% vs Danylov 40%
Sveshnykov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sveshnykov 70% vs Danylov 40%
Sveshnykov
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sveshnykov +1 · Danylov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 81% — Strong (leans Sveshnykov) · live re-read · sealed at 77% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Danylov form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSveshnykov 1.25 / Danylov 3.75
Signal prob.81% / 19%
Edge (Sveshnykov)+6.3pp
Setka Cup · #13121879
Sveshnykov1.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite80% won 32 of 40
Up 2–0, closes it95% 19 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it90% 26 of 29
Danylov3.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 27 of 82
Down 0–1, comes back12% 6 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSveshnykov7wins
AwayDanylov3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSveshnykov leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSveshnykov80%4 of 5
AwayDanylov40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sveshnykov5Danylov5n = 10split evenly
S2Sveshnykov8Danylov2n = 10Sveshnykov took 8 of 10
S3Sveshnykov5Danylov5n = 10split evenly
S4Sveshnykov4Danylov3n = 7Sveshnykov took 4 of 7
S5Sveshnykov2Danylov1n = 3Sveshnykov took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSveshnykovDanylovS − DBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.736.3+2.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSveshnykovDanylovBasisWin rate · lifetime112 / 279 vs 39 / 12440.1%31.5%112 / 279 vs 39 / 124Avg sets wonper match1.71.5per matchAvg pointsper match35.033.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SveshnykovSveshnykov 1.25/Danylov 3.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
81.3%
Sveshnykov · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Danylov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 6 · 12:00R. Sveshnykov491111106113A. Danylov4559121182
WApr 11 · 06:00R. Sveshnykov43111110113A. Danylov32761271
WMar 29 · 11:58R. Sveshnykov47121112123A. Danylov4314910101
WMar 22 · 11:18R. Sveshnykov341111123A. Danylov2394100
WMar 22 · 06:30R. Sveshnykov331111113A. Danylov249690
WMar 8 · 17:30R. Sveshnykov47851112113A. Danylov40111121062
WMar 1 · 10:30R. Sveshnykov4171112113A. Danylov331181041
LFeb 15 · 13:00R. Sveshnykov3912116552A. Danylov511081111113
LFeb 13 · 15:00R. Sveshnykov31611681A. Danylov3911711103
LFeb 1 · 13:00R. Sveshnykov238870A. Danylov331111113
R. Sveshnykov10
WSep 13 · 14:00R. Sveshnykov1.611111123V. Khyzhnyak2.2048100LSep 13 · 13:00R. Sveshnykov1.61118661O. Levytskyi2.2071111103WSep 6 · 16:59V. Kurliuk1.251146111R. Sveshnykov3.7551111133WSep 6 · 16:00R. Sveshnykov3.75111138113V. Kurliuk1.2559111192LSep 6 · 15:00S. Honcharenko2.2511119123R. Sveshnykov1.577611101WSep 6 · 14:00Y. Urezchenko2.501411781R. Sveshnykov1.5016911113LSep 6 · 12:30I. Sorochan1.251181111113R. Sveshnykov3.7561113672WSep 5 · 17:04A. Lysyi3.2571161242R. Sveshnykov1.33119111063WSep 5 · 16:30R. Sveshnykov1.611171193S. Honcharenko2.20911671WSep 5 · 15:30R. Sveshnykov1.4081211113A. Lysyi2.751110581
A. Danylov10
WSep 13 · 14:30A. Danylov2.50111193O. Levytskyi1.507770LSep 13 · 13:30S. Zherykhin1.67117114113A. Danylov2.1071171192LSep 13 · 12:30A. Danylov2.5011121371V. Khyzhnyak1.5041415113WSep 6 · 09:58V. Hyriavyi1.5031191192A. Danylov2.50117114113LSep 6 · 09:30A. Danylov1.6710116101S. Zherykhin2.1012511123WSep 6 · 08:30A. Danylov2.25121182113A. Lysyi1.57108111182LSep 6 · 07:00A. Danylov2.25581241V. Hyriavyi1.57111110113LSep 6 · 06:00A. Danylov1.731171171V. Matviichuk2.0013115113WAug 29 · 17:35A. Danylov1.506111112113V. Yarovyi2.5011871432LAug 29 · 16:00O. Levytskyi1.73121111103A. Danylov2.001013981
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