TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122538
Played Sep 13Finished
Roman Sveshnykov
Home
1.11
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
311119119119––
Stanislav Zherykhin
Away
6.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:41 and never touched — 88.3% is still 88.3%
Graded at full timeRoman Sveshnykov to win
88.3%
88.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Sveshnykov above · Stanislav Zherykhin below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 74 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Roman Sveshnykov at 88.3%
74 points played in total.
H2H Roman Sveshnykov 3–0 Stanislav Zherykhin Stanislav Zherykhin has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:41What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.11 (84%)
Sveshnykov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Sveshnykov
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sveshnykov 1259 vs Zherykhin 1054
Sveshnykov
Correct
both rated, 205 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sveshnykov 60% vs Zherykhin 80%
Zherykhin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sveshnykov 60% vs Zherykhin 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sveshnykov -1 · Zherykhin -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 87% — Strong (leans Sveshnykov) · live re-read · sealed at 88% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zherykhin form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (17%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSveshnykov 1.11 / Zherykhin 6.00
Signal prob.87% / 13%
Edge (Sveshnykov)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13122538
Sveshnykov1.11
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite80% won 32 of 40
Up 2–0, closes it95% 19 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it90% 26 of 29
Zherykhin6.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog28% won 15 of 54
Down 0–1, comes back16% 6 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back16% 4 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSveshnykov3wins
AwayZherykhin0wins
Sveshnykov leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSveshnykov100%3 of 3
AwayZherykhinn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sveshnykov3Zherykhin0n = 3Sveshnykov took 3 of 3
S2Sveshnykov3Zherykhin0n = 3Sveshnykov took 3 of 3
S3Sveshnykov3Zherykhin0n = 3Sveshnykov took 3 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home3100%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricSveshnykovZherykhinS − ZBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match34.724.3+10.4per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSveshnykovZherykhinBasisWin rate · lifetime112 / 280 vs 29 / 8240%35.4%112 / 280 vs 29 / 82Avg sets wonper match1.71.6per matchAvg pointsper match35.035.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SveshnykovSveshnykov 1.11/Zherykhin 6.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
87.2%
Sveshnykov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sveshnykov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WJun 13 · 12:00R. Sveshnykov351111133S. Zherykhin2779110
WMay 31 · 15:00R. Sveshnykov331111113S. Zherykhin195770
WApr 11 · 09:30R. Sveshnykov361311123S. Zherykhin27116100
R. Sveshnykov10
LSep 13 · 15:30R. Sveshnykov1.25141151162A. Danylov3.75164116113WSep 13 · 14:00R. Sveshnykov1.611111123V. Khyzhnyak2.2048100LSep 13 · 13:00R. Sveshnykov1.61118661O. Levytskyi2.2071111103WSep 6 · 16:59V. Kurliuk1.251146111R. Sveshnykov3.7551111133WSep 6 · 16:00R. Sveshnykov3.75111138113V. Kurliuk1.2559111192LSep 6 · 15:00S. Honcharenko2.2511119123R. Sveshnykov1.577611101WSep 6 · 14:00Y. Urezchenko2.501411781R. Sveshnykov1.5016911113LSep 6 · 12:30I. Sorochan1.251181111113R. Sveshnykov3.7561113672WSep 5 · 17:04A. Lysyi3.2571161242R. Sveshnykov1.33119111063WSep 5 · 16:30R. Sveshnykov1.611171193S. Honcharenko2.20911671
S. Zherykhin10
LSep 13 · 15:00S. Zherykhin1.281281191V. Khyzhnyak3.5014115113WSep 13 · 13:30S. Zherykhin1.67117114113A. Danylov2.1071171192WSep 13 · 12:00S. Zherykhin2.1061111113O. Levytskyi1.67113871WSep 10 · 10:34V. Khyzhnyak2.759280S. Zherykhin1.401111113WSep 10 · 09:30S. Zherykhin1.5711711113V. Khyzhnyak2.25611861WSep 10 · 08:30S. Zherykhin2.2512811113O. Shvydkyi1.571011791WSep 10 · 07:00S. Zherykhin2.631211113V. Matviichuk1.4410450LSep 10 · 06:00S. Zherykhin2.6371111121Y. Urezchenko1.4411713143LSep 7 · 09:00O. Badanin1.3311131110113S. Zherykhin3.2561551292LSep 7 · 07:30A. Lysyi1.7311811113S. Zherykhin2.00911481
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