TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126184
Played Sep 14Finished
Stanislav Zherykhin
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
20188117111113––
Oleg Shvydkyi
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:21 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeStanislav Zherykhin to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingStanislav Zherykhin above · Oleg Shvydkyi below
Set 1 · 20-18
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 99 set 4, 11-13 — our read held Stanislav Zherykhin at 55.8%
99 points played in total.
H2H Stanislav Zherykhin 1–1 Oleg Shvydkyi Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:21What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Zherykhin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Zherykhin 1028 vs Shvydkyi 1052
Shvydkyi
Correct
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zherykhin 40% vs Shvydkyi 20%
Zherykhin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zherykhin 60% vs Shvydkyi 30%
Zherykhin
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zherykhin -3 · Shvydkyi +1
Zherykhin
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Zherykhin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shvydkyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZherykhin 1.67 / Shvydkyi 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Zherykhin)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13126184
Zherykhin1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 11 of 18
Up 2–0, closes it86% 6 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it91% 10 of 11
Shvydkyi2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog30% won 16 of 54
Down 0–1, comes back9% 3 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeZherykhin1wins
AwayShvydkyi1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricZherykhinShvydkyiZ − SBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match44.045.0−1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZherykhinShvydkyiBasisWin rate · lifetime29 / 85 vs 62 / 17234.1%36.1%29 / 85 vs 62 / 172Avg sets wonper match1.61.6per matchAvg pointsper match35.733.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZherykhinZherykhin 1.67/Shvydkyi 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Zherykhin · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Shvydkyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 14 · 06:00S. Zherykhin462087111O. Shvydkyi53181111133
WSep 10 · 08:30S. Zherykhin4212811113O. Shvydkyi371011791
S. Zherykhin10
LSep 13 · 16:59O. Levytskyi1.8311711113S. Zherykhin1.83911741LSep 13 · 16:30R. Sveshnykov1.1131111113S. Zherykhin6.00119991LSep 13 · 15:00S. Zherykhin1.281281191V. Khyzhnyak3.5014115113WSep 13 · 13:30S. Zherykhin1.67117114113A. Danylov2.1071171192WSep 13 · 12:00S. Zherykhin2.1061111113O. Levytskyi1.67113871WSep 10 · 10:34V. Khyzhnyak2.759280S. Zherykhin1.401111113WSep 10 · 09:30S. Zherykhin1.5711711113V. Khyzhnyak2.25611861WSep 10 · 08:30S. Zherykhin2.2512811113O. Shvydkyi1.571011791WSep 10 · 07:00S. Zherykhin2.631211113V. Matviichuk1.4410450LSep 10 · 06:00S. Zherykhin2.6371111121Y. Urezchenko1.4411713143
O. Shvydkyi10
WSep 14 · 05:00O. Badanin1.5051191182O. Shvydkyi2.50115115113LSep 10 · 10:03Y. Urezchenko1.251311113O. Shvydkyi3.7511450LSep 10 · 08:30S. Zherykhin2.2512811113O. Shvydkyi1.571011791LSep 10 · 07:30O. Shvydkyi3.50101140Y. Urezchenko1.281213113LSep 10 · 06:30V. Khyzhnyak2.0011811113O. Shvydkyi1.73311281WSep 10 · 05:30O. Shvydkyi2.2011129113V. Matviichuk1.614101181WAug 16 · 16:00V. Yarovyi4.501159101O. Shvydkyi1.1781111123LAug 16 · 14:30A. Lysyi1.401111113O. Shvydkyi2.759830LAug 16 · 13:00M. Zavoloka1.611111113O. Shvydkyi2.206950LAug 16 · 12:00A. Danylov3.407111011113O. Shvydkyi1.3011512882
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