TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126145
Played Sep 14Finished
Oleksandr Badanin
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
511115911115811
Oleg Shvydkyi
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:12 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Badanin to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Badanin above · Oleg Shvydkyi below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 87 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Oleksandr Badanin at 60.5%
87 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Badanin 11–5 Oleg Shvydkyi Oleg Shvydkyi has won 5 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:12What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Badanin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-5 in 16
Badanin
Wrong
gap of 6 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Badanin 1157 vs Shvydkyi 1026
Badanin
Wrong
both rated, 131 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Badanin 40% vs Shvydkyi 20%
Badanin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Badanin 50% vs Shvydkyi 30%
Badanin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Badanin +1 · Shvydkyi -4
Shvydkyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Badanin) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shvydkyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBadanin 1.50 / Shvydkyi 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Badanin)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13126145
Badanin1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite68% won 34 of 50
Up 2–0, closes it100% 20 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it91% 30 of 33
Shvydkyi2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog30% won 16 of 54
Down 0–1, comes back9% 3 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBadanin6wins
AwayShvydkyi4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderBadanin leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBadanin100%6 of 6
AwayShvydkyi100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Badanin6Shvydkyi4n = 10Badanin took 6 of 10
S2Badanin4Shvydkyi6n = 10Shvydkyi took 6 of 10
S3Badanin6Shvydkyi4n = 10Badanin took 6 of 10
S4Badanin3Shvydkyi5n = 8Shvydkyi took 5 of 8
S5Badanin3Shvydkyi1n = 4Badanin took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBadaninShvydkyiB − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.337.7+1.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBadaninShvydkyiBasisWin rate · lifetime162 / 338 vs 60 / 17047.9%35.3%162 / 338 vs 60 / 170Avg sets wonper match1.91.5per matchAvg pointsper match36.732.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BadaninBadanin 1.50/Shvydkyi 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.1%
Badanin · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Shvydkyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMay 29 · 06:00O. Badanin27671131O. Shvydkyi4011117113
WMar 22 · 07:00O. Badanin4011711113O. Shvydkyi29711561
WJan 11 · 18:45O. Badanin331111113O. Shvydkyi206680
WJan 11 · 16:00O. Badanin491151111113O. Shvydkyi4181131362
WSep 15 · 05:00O. Badanin4211119113O. Shvydkyi32571191
WAug 23 · 09:30O. Badanin47111186113O. Shvydkyi4078111132
LJul 1 · 10:18O. Badanin344811111O. Shvydkyi3911115123
LJul 1 · 07:30O. Badanin259790O. Shvydkyi331111113
LJun 13 · 17:36O. Badanin4597121162O. Shvydkyi511111108113
WJun 13 · 12:00O. Badanin511211116113O. Shvydkyi52109131192
O. Badanin10
WSep 7 · 09:00O. Badanin1.3311131110113S. Zherykhin3.2561551292LSep 7 · 08:00Y. Urezchenko2.381111133O. Badanin1.5388110LSep 7 · 07:00V. Khyzhnyak3.7511111113O. Badanin1.25991181LSep 7 · 05:30A. Lysyi2.7511119113O. Badanin1.40991171WSep 4 · 10:09S. Honcharenko2.209114101O. Badanin1.6111911123LSep 4 · 09:30O. Badanin3.7511791152V. Kurliuk1.25711118113WSep 4 · 08:30O. Badanin1.57111125113S. Honcharenko2.2559111182LSep 4 · 07:00O. Badanin4.33811134102Y. Zvolynskyi1.201191111123WSep 4 · 06:00O. Badanin1.3311711113V. Khyzhnyak3.25411531WSep 1 · 10:13O. Badanin1.751111113Y. Urezchenko1.953450
O. Shvydkyi10
LSep 10 · 10:03Y. Urezchenko1.251311113O. Shvydkyi3.7511450LSep 10 · 08:30S. Zherykhin2.2512811113O. Shvydkyi1.571011791LSep 10 · 07:30O. Shvydkyi3.50101140Y. Urezchenko1.281213113LSep 10 · 06:30V. Khyzhnyak2.0011811113O. Shvydkyi1.73311281WSep 10 · 05:30O. Shvydkyi2.2011129113V. Matviichuk1.614101181WAug 16 · 16:00V. Yarovyi4.501159101O. Shvydkyi1.1781111123LAug 16 · 14:30A. Lysyi1.401111113O. Shvydkyi2.759830LAug 16 · 13:00M. Zavoloka1.611111113O. Shvydkyi2.206950LAug 16 · 12:00A. Danylov3.407111011113O. Shvydkyi1.3011512882WAug 14 · 10:04S. Honcharenko1.6796111462O. Shvydkyi2.101111812113
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