TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12352129
Played Aug 2Finished
Dmytro Novik
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118116711117––
Volodymyr Khyzhnyak
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingDmytro Novik above · Volodymyr Khyzhnyak below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 72 set 4, 11-7
72 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Novik 13–7 Volodymyr Khyzhnyak Volodymyr Khyzhnyak has won 7 of their 20 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Novik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Novik form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNovik 1.61 / Khyzhnyak 2.20
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Novik)-3.7pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #12352129
Novik1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite63% won 36 of 57
Up 2–0, closes it88% 14 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it92% 24 of 26
Khyzhnyak2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog28% won 25 of 91
Down 0–1, comes back16% 9 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNovik6wins
AwayKhyzhnyak4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderNovik leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNovik100%4 of 4
AwayKhyzhnyak66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Novik4Khyzhnyak6n = 10Khyzhnyak took 6 of 10
S2Novik5Khyzhnyak5n = 10split evenly
S3Novik6Khyzhnyak4n = 10Novik took 6 of 10
S4Novik5Khyzhnyak2n = 7Novik took 5 of 7
S5Novik2Khyzhnyak1n = 3Novik took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricNovikKhyzhnyakN − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.837.6+0.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNovikKhyzhnyakBasisWin rate · lifetime115 / 284 vs 45 / 15440.5%29.2%115 / 284 vs 45 / 154Avg sets wonper match1.71.4per matchAvg pointsper match34.433.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NovikNovik 1.61/Khyzhnyak 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Novik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Novik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 2 · 15:00D. Novik386116151V. Khyzhnyak4611711173
LJul 27 · 07:00D. Novik30911641V. Khyzhnyak4111811113
LJun 27 · 10:44D. Novik4381261162V. Khyzhnyak521110119113
WJun 27 · 09:30D. Novik501071111113V. Khyzhnyak4812118982
WMay 25 · 08:30D. Novik351311113V. Khyzhnyak2611870
LFeb 27 · 18:08D. Novik227690V. Khyzhnyak331111113
WFeb 27 · 13:00D. Novik331111113V. Khyzhnyak228680
WFeb 9 · 11:21D. Novik3911611113V. Khyzhnyak34911681
WFeb 9 · 07:00D. Novik48871111113V. Khyzhnyak4411119762
WJan 16 · 11:05D. Novik401181293V. Khyzhnyak305111041
D. Novik10
LAug 9 · 16:00I. Sorochan1.281113113D. Novik3.5061160LAug 9 · 14:30A. Lysyi1.91101111113D. Novik1.80128971LAug 9 · 13:00Y. Urezchenko1.5771111113D. Novik2.25118571LAug 9 · 12:00R. Sveshnykov1.441111113D. Novik2.634860LAug 3 · 10:04D. Novik3.25415571A. Lysyi1.33111311113LAug 3 · 09:00V. Hyriavyi2.38971111113D. Novik1.5311119482LAug 3 · 07:30A. Lysyi2.7511911113D. Novik1.40411891WAug 3 · 06:00O. Shvydkyi2.503640D. Novik1.501111113LAug 3 · 05:00V. Matviichuk1.331111113D. Novik3.258590LAug 2 · 16:00D. Novik2.759580V. Matviichuk1.401111113
V. Khyzhnyak10
LSep 13 · 16:00V. Khyzhnyak4.33851181O. Levytskyi1.2011119113WSep 13 · 15:00S. Zherykhin1.281281191V. Khyzhnyak3.5014115113LSep 13 · 14:00R. Sveshnykov1.611111123V. Khyzhnyak2.2048100WSep 13 · 12:30A. Danylov2.5011121371V. Khyzhnyak1.5041415113LSep 10 · 10:34V. Khyzhnyak2.759280S. Zherykhin1.401111113LSep 10 · 09:30S. Zherykhin1.5711711113V. Khyzhnyak2.25611861WSep 10 · 08:00V. Khyzhnyak3.251111133V. Matviichuk1.3345110WSep 10 · 06:30V. Khyzhnyak2.0011811113O. Shvydkyi1.73311281WSep 10 · 05:00V. Khyzhnyak1.80711118113Y. Urezchenko1.9111881192LSep 7 · 09:30V. Khyzhnyak1.7311591192Y. Urezchenko2.00611114113
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