TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12352422
Played Aug 3Finished
Viktor Hyriavyi
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911711119114118
Dmytro Novik
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:38 and never touched — 56.7% is still 56.7%
Graded at full timeDmytro Novik to win
56.7%
56.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingViktor Hyriavyi above · Dmytro Novik below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 92 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Dmytro Novik at 56.7%
92 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Hyriavyi 7–5 Dmytro Novik Dmytro Novik has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:38What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Novik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-5 in 12
Hyriavyi
Correct
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hyriavyi 989 vs Novik 1080
Novik
Wrong
both rated, 91 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hyriavyi 40% vs Novik 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hyriavyi 30% vs Novik 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hyriavyi -1 · Novik -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Novik) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Novik form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHyriavyi 2.38 / Novik 1.53
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Novik)-1.0pp
Setka Cup · #12352422
Hyriavyi2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog24% won 23 of 98
Down 0–1, comes back10% 7 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 46
Novik1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 39 of 61
Up 2–0, closes it90% 17 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it93% 27 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHyriavyi6wins
AwayNovik4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHyriavyi leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHyriavyi100%4 of 4
AwayNovik66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hyriavyi4Novik6n = 10Novik took 6 of 10
S2Hyriavyi3Novik7n = 10Novik took 7 of 10
S3Hyriavyi7Novik3n = 10Hyriavyi took 7 of 10
S4Hyriavyi5Novik2n = 7Hyriavyi took 5 of 7
S5Hyriavyi3Novik1n = 4Hyriavyi took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHyriavyiNovikH − NBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.438.6−1.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHyriavyiNovikBasisWin rate · lifetime107 / 353 vs 117 / 28830.3%40.6%107 / 353 vs 117 / 288Avg sets wonper match1.51.7per matchAvg pointsper match32.834.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NovikHyriavyi 2.38/Novik 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.8%
Novik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hyriavyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 6 · 09:00V. Hyriavyi325512101D. Novik44111110123
LFeb 27 · 17:00V. Hyriavyi42521112122D. Novik541111810143
WFeb 25 · 11:03V. Hyriavyi48871111113D. Novik4511119592
WFeb 25 · 06:30V. Hyriavyi4011611123D. Novik399119101
LDec 22 · 09:00V. Hyriavyi381411761D. Novik4016211113
WNov 24 · 10:30V. Hyriavyi341111123D. Novik2789100
WNov 3 · 10:53V. Hyriavyi41621111113D. Novik4511115992
WNov 3 · 10:00V. Hyriavyi331111113D. Novik228590
WOct 27 · 06:30V. Hyriavyi43117311113D. Novik3761111542
LMay 11 · 15:00V. Hyriavyi2341090D. Novik331112103
V. Hyriavyi10
LSep 8 · 10:04V. Matviichuk1.441111113V. Hyriavyi2.637530LSep 8 · 08:30S. Honcharenko1.2511119113V. Hyriavyi3.75671191LSep 8 · 07:30V. Hyriavyi3.401330M. Zavoloka1.301111113WSep 8 · 06:30Y. Urezchenko1.407650V. Hyriavyi2.751111113WSep 8 · 05:30V. Hyriavyi3.2511511123V. Matviichuk1.337119101LSep 6 · 09:58V. Hyriavyi1.5031191192A. Danylov2.50117114113LSep 6 · 09:00V. Hyriavyi3.00911931V. Matviichuk1.3611711113LSep 6 · 08:00S. Zherykhin1.53881111113V. Hyriavyi2.3811117432WSep 6 · 07:00A. Danylov2.25581241V. Hyriavyi1.57111110113WSep 6 · 05:30A. Lysyi1.3011115262V. Hyriavyi3.40951111113
D. Novik10
LAug 9 · 16:00I. Sorochan1.281113113D. Novik3.5061160LAug 9 · 14:30A. Lysyi1.91101111113D. Novik1.80128971LAug 9 · 13:00Y. Urezchenko1.5771111113D. Novik2.25118571LAug 9 · 12:00R. Sveshnykov1.441111113D. Novik2.634860LAug 3 · 10:04D. Novik3.25415571A. Lysyi1.33111311113LAug 3 · 07:30A. Lysyi2.7511911113D. Novik1.40411891WAug 3 · 06:00O. Shvydkyi2.503640D. Novik1.501111113LAug 3 · 05:00V. Matviichuk1.331111113D. Novik3.258590WAug 2 · 17:28D. Novik1.6111117113V. Khyzhnyak2.20861171LAug 2 · 16:00D. Novik2.759580V. Matviichuk1.401111113
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