TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12384814
Played Aug 9Finished
Ihor Sorochan
Home
1.29
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 7
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161311116––––
Dmytro Novik
Away
3.50
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:15 and never touched — 73.9% is still 73.9%
Graded at full timeIhor Sorochan to win
73.9%
73.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIhor Sorochan above · Dmytro Novik below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 58 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Ihor Sorochan at 73.9%
58 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Sorochan 15–6 Dmytro Novik Dmytro Novik has won 6 of their 21 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:15What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Sorochan
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-6 in 21
Sorochan
Correct
gap of 9 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sorochan 1390 vs Novik 1010
Sorochan
Correct
both rated, 380 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sorochan 100% vs Novik 0%
Sorochan
Correct
100pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sorochan 90% vs Novik 20%
Sorochan
Correct
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sorochan +5 · Novik -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Sorochan) · live re-read · sealed at 74% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Novik form (0%) is below what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSorochan 1.28 / Novik 3.50
Signal prob.83% / 17%
Edge (Sorochan)+10.0pp
Setka Cup · #12384814
Sorochan1.28
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite68% won 68 of 100
Up 2–0, closes it92% 36 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it77% 53 of 69
Novik3.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog28% won 19 of 68
Down 0–1, comes back14% 7 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSorochan5wins
AwayNovik5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSorochan60%3 of 5
AwayNovik60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sorochan5Novik5n = 10split evenly
S2Sorochan4Novik6n = 10Novik took 6 of 10
S3Sorochan6Novik4n = 10Sorochan took 6 of 10
S4Sorochan6Novik2n = 8Sorochan took 6 of 8
S5Sorochan1Novik3n = 4Novik took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSorochanNovikS − NBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.239.4+0.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSorochanNovikBasisWin rate · lifetime280 / 465 vs 117 / 29360.2%39.9%280 / 465 vs 117 / 293Avg sets wonper match2.21.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.134.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SorochanSorochan 1.28/Novik 3.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
83.1%
Sorochan · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sorochan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMay 23 · 07:00I. Sorochan2898110D. Novik351111133
LMay 18 · 06:30I. Sorochan48127101182D. Novik501011126113
WMay 11 · 10:15I. Sorochan331111113D. Novik269980
WMay 11 · 09:00I. Sorochan3811511113D. Novik29611751
LMar 16 · 06:30I. Sorochan4711911882D. Novik47811611113
LMar 9 · 07:30I. Sorochan4261161182D. Novik48118117113
WFeb 26 · 06:30I. Sorochan4111118113D. Novik34791171
WFeb 23 · 08:30I. Sorochan4071111113D. Novik32119571
LJan 19 · 06:00I. Sorochan31581261D. Novik43111110113
WDec 21 · 18:10I. Sorochan548121211113D. Novik50111410692
I. Sorochan10
WSep 9 · 10:10V. Kurliuk3.50811612112I. Sorochan1.251131110133LSep 9 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.731111113I. Sorochan2.007950WSep 9 · 07:30I. Sorochan1.251111113V. Kurliuk3.759590WSep 9 · 06:30M. Zavoloka1.8358111182I. Sorochan1.83111189113LSep 9 · 05:30I. Sorochan2.38961251S. Honcharenko1.53111110113LSep 7 · 16:00I. Sorochan3.0010630S. Sideltsev1.361211113LSep 7 · 15:00I. Dubinin1.8091411113I. Sorochan1.911112591LSep 7 · 14:00S. Honcharenko1.571111113I. Sorochan2.257360WSep 7 · 12:30N. Priadko2.201111391I. Sorochan1.6113711113LSep 6 · 17:29I. Sorochan1.9111111111S. Honcharenko1.8091313113
D. Novik10
LAug 9 · 14:30A. Lysyi1.91101111113D. Novik1.80128971LAug 9 · 13:00Y. Urezchenko1.5771111113D. Novik2.25118571LAug 9 · 12:00R. Sveshnykov1.441111113D. Novik2.634860LAug 3 · 10:04D. Novik3.25415571A. Lysyi1.33111311113LAug 3 · 09:00V. Hyriavyi2.38971111113D. Novik1.5311119482LAug 3 · 07:30A. Lysyi2.7511911113D. Novik1.40411891WAug 3 · 06:00O. Shvydkyi2.503640D. Novik1.501111113LAug 3 · 05:00V. Matviichuk1.331111113D. Novik3.258590WAug 2 · 17:28D. Novik1.6111117113V. Khyzhnyak2.20861171LAug 2 · 16:00D. Novik2.759580V. Matviichuk1.401111113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.