TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12354992
Played Aug 3Finished
Dmytro Novik
Home
3.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
4111513511711––
Anatoliy Lysyi
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingDmytro Novik above · Anatoliy Lysyi below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 15-13
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 77 set 4, 7-11
77 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Novik 28–10 Anatoliy Lysyi Anatoliy Lysyi has won 10 of their 38 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Lysyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lysyi form (60%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNovik 3.25 / Lysyi 1.33
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Lysyi)+6.3pp
Setka Cup · #12354992
Novik3.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog28% won 21 of 76
Down 0–1, comes back13% 7 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 38
Lysyi1.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite77% won 50 of 65
Up 2–0, closes it86% 24 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it83% 38 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNovik5wins
AwayLysyi5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNovik100%4 of 4
AwayLysyi83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Novik4Lysyi6n = 10Lysyi took 6 of 10
S2Novik7Lysyi3n = 10Novik took 7 of 10
S3Novik4Lysyi6n = 10Lysyi took 6 of 10
S4Novik2Lysyi4n = 6Lysyi took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricNovikLysyiN − LBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.833.1+1.7per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNovikLysyiBasisWin rate · lifetime117 / 289 vs 164 / 38940.5%42.2%117 / 289 vs 164 / 389Avg sets wonper match1.71.8per matchAvg pointsper match34.435.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LysyiNovik 3.25/Lysyi 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.2%
Lysyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Lysyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 3 · 07:30D. Novik32411891A. Lysyi4211911113
WAug 2 · 12:28D. Novik521111109113A. Lysyi4094121142
WJul 27 · 05:30D. Novik3631111113A. Lysyi27115561
WJul 6 · 09:58D. Novik4111811113A. Lysyi31511961
WJul 6 · 07:30D. Novik331111113A. Lysyi259790
LJul 4 · 05:30D. Novik28610120A. Lysyi371112143
LJun 27 · 08:30D. Novik2164110A. Lysyi351111133
WJun 7 · 09:59D. Novik331111113A. Lysyi168440
LJun 7 · 05:30D. Novik381111971A. Lysyi3913411113
LMay 23 · 05:30D. Novik34611981A. Lysyi3911611113
D. Novik10
LAug 9 · 16:00I. Sorochan1.281113113D. Novik3.5061160LAug 9 · 14:30A. Lysyi1.91101111113D. Novik1.80128971LAug 9 · 13:00Y. Urezchenko1.5771111113D. Novik2.25118571LAug 9 · 12:00R. Sveshnykov1.441111113D. Novik2.634860LAug 3 · 09:00V. Hyriavyi2.38971111113D. Novik1.5311119482LAug 3 · 07:30A. Lysyi2.7511911113D. Novik1.40411891WAug 3 · 06:00O. Shvydkyi2.503640D. Novik1.501111113LAug 3 · 05:00V. Matviichuk1.331111113D. Novik3.258590WAug 2 · 17:28D. Novik1.6111117113V. Khyzhnyak2.20861171LAug 2 · 16:00D. Novik2.759580V. Matviichuk1.401111113
A. Lysyi10
WSep 14 · 06:30O. Badanin1.579470A. Lysyi2.251111113WSep 14 · 05:30A. Lysyi5.00114311113E. Bakin1.1491111762LSep 7 · 10:33A. Lysyi1.367690Y. Urezchenko3.001111113WSep 7 · 08:30V. Khyzhnyak5.00531261A. Lysyi1.14111110113WSep 7 · 07:30A. Lysyi1.7311811113S. Zherykhin2.00911481LSep 7 · 06:30Y. Urezchenko3.25111145133A. Lysyi1.33691111112WSep 7 · 05:30A. Lysyi2.7511119113O. Badanin1.40991171LSep 6 · 08:30A. Danylov2.25121182113A. Lysyi1.57108111182WAug 9 · 14:30A. Lysyi1.91101111113D. Novik1.80128971WAug 3 · 07:30A. Lysyi2.7511911113D. Novik1.40411891
Upcoming Matches
D. Novik
Nothing scheduled
A. Lysyi
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