TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12108213
Played Jun 27Finished
Anatoliy Lysyi
Home
3.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
11110121113––––
Evgenii Bakin
Away
1.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingAnatoliy Lysyi above · Evgenii Bakin below
Set 1 · 1-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 58 set 3, 11-13
58 points played in total.
H2H Anatoliy Lysyi 1–4 Evgenii Bakin Anatoliy Lysyi has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
Signal confidence: 81% — Strong (leans Bakin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lysyi form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLysyi 3.75 / Bakin 1.25
Signal prob.19% / 81%
Edge (Bakin)+6.0pp
Setka Cup · #12108213
Lysyi3.75
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog27% won 33 of 121
Down 0–1, comes back10% 7 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 45
Bakin1.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite71% won 30 of 42
Up 2–0, closes it95% 19 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it89% 25 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeLysyi1wins
AwayBakin4wins
Bakin leads 4–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLysyin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayBakin100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lysyi2Bakin3n = 5Bakin took 3 of 5
S2Lysyi2Bakin3n = 5Bakin took 3 of 5
S3Lysyi1Bakin4n = 5Bakin took 4 of 5
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away240%
These 5 meetings
MetricLysyiBakinL − BBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match29.435.8−6.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLysyiBakinBasisWin rate · lifetime212 / 520 vs 68 / 13640.8%50%212 / 520 vs 68 / 136Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.733.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BakinLysyi 3.75/Bakin 1.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
81%
Bakin · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Bakin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WMay 18 · 09:00A. Lysyi331111113E. Bakin239950
LMay 1 · 17:39A. Lysyi24116341E. Bakin4291111113
LMay 1 · 15:30A. Lysyi2410860E. Bakin341211113
LApr 11 · 05:30A. Lysyi3057180E. Bakin421111203
LDec 6 · 07:00A. Lysyi36911881E. Bakin3811511113
A. Lysyi10
WSep 14 · 06:30O. Badanin1.579470A. Lysyi2.251111113WSep 14 · 05:30A. Lysyi5.00114311113E. Bakin1.1491111762LSep 7 · 10:33A. Lysyi1.367690Y. Urezchenko3.001111113WSep 7 · 08:30V. Khyzhnyak5.00531261A. Lysyi1.14111110113WSep 7 · 07:30A. Lysyi1.7311811113S. Zherykhin2.00911481LSep 7 · 06:30Y. Urezchenko3.25111145133A. Lysyi1.33691111112WSep 7 · 05:30A. Lysyi2.7511119113O. Badanin1.40991171LSep 6 · 08:30A. Danylov2.25121182113A. Lysyi1.57108111182LSep 6 · 07:30A. Lysyi1.834550V. Matviichuk1.831111113WSep 6 · 06:30S. Zherykhin2.0011991162A. Lysyi1.73111115113
E. Bakin10
WSep 14 · 07:00S. Zherykhin2.005510E. Bakin1.731111113LSep 14 · 05:30A. Lysyi5.00114311113E. Bakin1.1491111762WAug 2 · 10:08E. Bakin1.67117117113S. Honcharenko2.1091141182WAug 2 · 08:58E. Bakin1.80111168113O. Levytskyi1.9169111142LAug 2 · 07:58S. Honcharenko2.501111123E. Bakin1.5084100LAug 2 · 06:58R. Sveshnykov1.6111811113E. Bakin2.20511811LAug 2 · 05:29I. Sorochan2.1011812113E. Bakin1.679111041WJun 27 · 10:15E. Bakin1.301111113A. Lysyi3.404790WJun 27 · 09:00E. Bakin1.14511117113A. Danylov5.0011651172WJun 27 · 08:00V. Khyzhnyak6.0051140E. Bakin1.111113113
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