TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126564
Played Sep 14Finished
Stanislav Zherykhin
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 6
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
7111191172111210
Oleksandr Badanin
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:18 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Badanin to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingStanislav Zherykhin above · Oleksandr Badanin below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 2-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 91 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Oleksandr Badanin at 64.5%
91 points played in total.
H2H Stanislav Zherykhin 1–2 Oleksandr Badanin Stanislav Zherykhin has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:18What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Badanin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zherykhin 1028 vs Badanin 1130
Badanin
Wrong
both rated, 102 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zherykhin 0% vs Badanin 40%
Badanin
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zherykhin 40% vs Badanin 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zherykhin -5 · Badanin +1
Zherykhin
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Badanin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Badanin form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZherykhin 2.63 / Badanin 1.44
Signal prob.36% / 65%
Edge (Badanin)-0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13126564
Zherykhin2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog29% won 16 of 56
Down 0–1, comes back18% 7 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back16% 4 of 25
Badanin1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite68% won 34 of 50
Up 2–0, closes it100% 20 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it91% 30 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeZherykhin1wins
AwayBadanin2wins
2 of 3 to a deciderBadanin leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZherykhinn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayBadanin66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zherykhin0Badanin3n = 3Badanin took 3 of 3
S2Zherykhin2Badanin1n = 3Zherykhin took 2 of 3
S3Zherykhin2Badanin1n = 3Zherykhin took 2 of 3
S4Zherykhin1Badanin2n = 3Badanin took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricZherykhinBadaninZ − BBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match42.350.0−7.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZherykhinBadaninBasisWin rate · lifetime30 / 88 vs 157 / 33034.1%47.6%30 / 88 vs 157 / 330Avg sets wonper match1.61.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.536.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BadaninZherykhin 2.63/Badanin 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.5%
Badanin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Zherykhin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 14 · 09:30S. Zherykhin43711112123O. Badanin48119711102
LSep 7 · 09:00S. Zherykhin4761551292O. Badanin5611131110113
LSep 1 · 09:00S. Zherykhin371091441O. Badanin46121112113
S. Zherykhin10
LSep 14 · 08:30S. Zherykhin2.10114691A. Lysyi1.6771111113LSep 14 · 07:00S. Zherykhin2.005510E. Bakin1.731111113LSep 14 · 06:00S. Zherykhin1.672087111O. Shvydkyi2.10181111133LSep 13 · 16:59O. Levytskyi1.8311711113S. Zherykhin1.83911741LSep 13 · 16:30R. Sveshnykov1.1131111113S. Zherykhin6.00119991LSep 13 · 15:00S. Zherykhin1.281281191V. Khyzhnyak3.5014115113WSep 13 · 13:30S. Zherykhin1.67117114113A. Danylov2.1071171192WSep 13 · 12:00S. Zherykhin2.1061111113O. Levytskyi1.67113871WSep 10 · 10:34V. Khyzhnyak2.759280S. Zherykhin1.401111113WSep 10 · 09:30S. Zherykhin1.5711711113V. Khyzhnyak2.25611861
O. Badanin10
WSep 14 · 08:00O. Badanin2.381111113E. Bakin1.538950LSep 14 · 06:30O. Badanin1.579470A. Lysyi2.251111113LSep 14 · 05:00O. Badanin1.5051191182O. Shvydkyi2.50115115113WSep 7 · 09:00O. Badanin1.3311131110113S. Zherykhin3.2561551292LSep 7 · 08:00Y. Urezchenko2.381111133O. Badanin1.5388110LSep 7 · 07:00V. Khyzhnyak3.7511111113O. Badanin1.25991181LSep 7 · 05:30A. Lysyi2.7511119113O. Badanin1.40991171WSep 4 · 10:09S. Honcharenko2.209114101O. Badanin1.6111911123LSep 4 · 09:30O. Badanin3.7511791152V. Kurliuk1.25711118113WSep 4 · 08:30O. Badanin1.57111125113S. Honcharenko2.2559111182
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