TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126380
Played Sep 14Finished
Stanislav Zherykhin
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
117411611911––
Anatoliy Lysyi
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:33 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeAnatoliy Lysyi to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingStanislav Zherykhin above · Anatoliy Lysyi below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 70 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Anatoliy Lysyi at 55.8%
70 points played in total.
H2H Stanislav Zherykhin 4–4 Anatoliy Lysyi Dead even across their 8 meetings.
Last 8 · 4–4Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:33What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Lysyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-4 in 8
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zherykhin 1022 vs Lysyi 1125
Lysyi
Correct
both rated, 103 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zherykhin 0% vs Lysyi 80%
Lysyi
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zherykhin 50% vs Lysyi 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zherykhin -5 · Lysyi +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Lysyi) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lysyi form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZherykhin 2.10 / Lysyi 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Lysyi)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13126380
Zherykhin2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog29% won 16 of 56
Down 0–1, comes back18% 7 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back16% 4 of 25
Lysyi1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite71% won 58 of 82
Up 2–0, closes it85% 28 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it78% 43 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeZherykhin4wins
AwayLysyi4wins
6 of 8 to a deciderLevel at 4–4, and 6 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZherykhin50%2 of 4
AwayLysyi50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zherykhin4Lysyi4n = 8split evenly
S2Zherykhin2Lysyi6n = 8Lysyi took 6 of 8
S3Zherykhin4Lysyi4n = 8split evenly
S4Zherykhin4Lysyi4n = 8split evenly
S5Zherykhin4Lysyi2n = 6Zherykhin took 4 of 6
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home450%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricZherykhinLysyiZ − LBasisWins440in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match44.645.5−0.9per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZherykhinLysyiBasisWin rate · lifetime29 / 86 vs 185 / 42433.7%43.6%29 / 86 vs 185 / 424Avg sets wonper match1.61.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.435.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LysyiZherykhin 2.10/Lysyi 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.6%
Lysyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Lysyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 7 · 07:30S. Zherykhin32911481A. Lysyi4111811113
LSep 6 · 06:30S. Zherykhin4611991162A. Lysyi39111115113
LAug 29 · 13:30S. Zherykhin3511411452A. Lysyi51911911113
WJun 7 · 06:30S. Zherykhin51991111113A. Lysyi4411119672
WMay 23 · 06:30S. Zherykhin51881311113A. Lysyi46111111672
LApr 19 · 07:28S. Zherykhin324101261A. Lysyi44111210113
WApr 11 · 09:59S. Zherykhin521112711113A. Lysyi4671411682
WApr 11 · 06:30S. Zherykhin58111188203A. Lysyi53851111182
S. Zherykhin10
WSep 14 · 09:30S. Zherykhin2.63711112123O. Badanin1.44119711102LSep 14 · 07:00S. Zherykhin2.005510E. Bakin1.731111113LSep 14 · 06:00S. Zherykhin1.672087111O. Shvydkyi2.10181111133LSep 13 · 16:59O. Levytskyi1.8311711113S. Zherykhin1.83911741LSep 13 · 16:30R. Sveshnykov1.1131111113S. Zherykhin6.00119991LSep 13 · 15:00S. Zherykhin1.281281191V. Khyzhnyak3.5014115113WSep 13 · 13:30S. Zherykhin1.67117114113A. Danylov2.1071171192WSep 13 · 12:00S. Zherykhin2.1061111113O. Levytskyi1.67113871WSep 10 · 10:34V. Khyzhnyak2.759280S. Zherykhin1.401111113WSep 10 · 09:30S. Zherykhin1.5711711113V. Khyzhnyak2.25611861
A. Lysyi10
WSep 14 · 07:30A. Lysyi1.361111113O. Shvydkyi3.005760WSep 14 · 06:30O. Badanin1.579470A. Lysyi2.251111113WSep 14 · 05:30A. Lysyi5.00114311113E. Bakin1.1491111762LSep 7 · 10:33A. Lysyi1.367690Y. Urezchenko3.001111113WSep 7 · 08:30V. Khyzhnyak5.00531261A. Lysyi1.14111110113WSep 7 · 07:30A. Lysyi1.7311811113S. Zherykhin2.00911481LSep 7 · 06:30Y. Urezchenko3.25111145133A. Lysyi1.33691111112WSep 7 · 05:30A. Lysyi2.7511119113O. Badanin1.40991171LSep 6 · 08:30A. Danylov2.25121182113A. Lysyi1.57108111182LSep 6 · 07:30A. Lysyi1.834550V. Matviichuk1.831111113
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