TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Mykola Zavoloka vs Evgenii Bakin 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Mykola Zavoloka
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1181210711117––
Evgenii Bakin
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:27 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMykola Zavoloka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykola Zavoloka above · Evgenii Bakin below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 77 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Mykola Zavoloka at 54.0%
77 points played in total.
H2H Mykola Zavoloka 1–0 Evgenii Bakin Evgenii Bakin has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:27What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Bakin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Zavoloka 1243 vs Bakin 1200
Zavoloka
Correct
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zavoloka 20% vs Bakin 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zavoloka 40% vs Bakin 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zavoloka -4 · Bakin -2
Zavoloka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zavoloka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bakin form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZavoloka 1.83 / Bakin 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Zavoloka)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13179772
Zavoloka1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Bakin1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeZavoloka1wins
AwayBakin0wins
Zavoloka leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricZavolokaBakinZ − BBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match41.036.0+5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZavolokaBakinBasisWin rate · lifetime48 / 84 vs 61 / 11357.1%54%48 / 84 vs 61 / 113Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.935.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZavolokaZavoloka 1.83/Bakin 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Zavoloka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zavoloka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 23 · 06:30M. Zavoloka4111127113E. Bakin368101171
M. Zavoloka10
LSep 23 · 05:00M. Zavoloka2.637460M. Pohorilyi1.441111113LSep 22 · 09:59V. Khyzhnyak2.001211113M. Zavoloka1.7310570LSep 22 · 09:30S. Honcharenko2.001111123M. Zavoloka1.7367100LSep 22 · 08:00M. Zavoloka1.61512791V. Khyzhnyak2.20111011113WSep 22 · 06:30M. Zavoloka1.171113113V. Hyriavyi4.5081190WSep 22 · 05:00M. Zavoloka1.4411612113V. Matviichuk2.637111081LSep 17 · 09:59M. Zavoloka2.10391181V. Kurliuk1.6711117113WSep 17 · 09:00V. Matviichuk2.63118941M. Zavoloka1.4451111113LSep 17 · 07:30V. Simchuk1.401111113M. Zavoloka2.756840WSep 17 · 06:00S. Honcharenko1.837990M. Zavoloka1.831111113
E. Bakin10
LSep 23 · 05:30E. Bakin1.801110591V. Kurliuk1.9191211113LSep 21 · 10:03E. Bakin2.2521381122Y. Zvolynskyi1.571111115113WSep 21 · 09:00E. Bakin1.25611117113A. Lysyi3.7511761162LSep 21 · 08:00I. Sorochan1.731111113E. Bakin2.007720LSep 21 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.617111411113E. Bakin2.2011816882WSep 21 · 05:30O. Shvydkyi3.0012671162E. Bakin1.361011116113LSep 14 · 10:38E. Bakin1.91311100O. Badanin1.801113123LSep 14 · 09:00E. Bakin1.30671171O. Shvydkyi3.4011114113LSep 14 · 08:00O. Badanin2.381111113E. Bakin1.538950WSep 14 · 07:00S. Zherykhin2.005510E. Bakin1.731111113
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