TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Mykola Zavoloka vs Vasyl Matviichuk 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Mykola Zavoloka
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1176111210118––
Vasyl Matviichuk
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:55 and never touched — 67.3% is still 67.3%
Graded at full timeMykola Zavoloka to win
67.3%
67.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykola Zavoloka above · Vasyl Matviichuk below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 76 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Mykola Zavoloka at 67.3%
76 points played in total.
H2H Mykola Zavoloka 5–5 Vasyl Matviichuk Dead even across their 10 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:55What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Zavoloka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-5 in 10
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zavoloka 1279 vs Matviichuk 1051
Zavoloka
Correct
both rated, 229 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zavoloka 40% vs Matviichuk 20%
Zavoloka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zavoloka 40% vs Matviichuk 20%
Zavoloka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zavoloka -1 · Matviichuk -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Zavoloka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Matviichuk form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZavoloka 1.44 / Matviichuk 2.63
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Zavoloka)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13172900
Zavoloka1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 5 days ago (Sep 17)
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite65% won 32 of 49
Up 2–0, closes it94% 17 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it84% 26 of 31
Matviichuk2.63
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 20)
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog27% won 31 of 117
Down 0–1, comes back7% 5 of 76
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZavoloka5wins
AwayMatviichuk5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZavoloka60%3 of 5
AwayMatviichuk60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zavoloka5Matviichuk5n = 10split evenly
S2Zavoloka6Matviichuk4n = 10Zavoloka took 6 of 10
S3Zavoloka4Matviichuk6n = 10Matviichuk took 6 of 10
S4Zavoloka5Matviichuk3n = 8Zavoloka took 5 of 8
S5Zavoloka2Matviichuk3n = 5Matviichuk took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZavolokaMatviichukZ − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.540.6+0.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZavolokaMatviichukBasisWin rate · lifetime45 / 77 vs 285 / 60658.4%47%45 / 77 vs 285 / 606Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.535.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZavolokaZavoloka 1.44/Matviichuk 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.3%
Zavoloka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zavoloka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 17 · 09:00M. Zavoloka3851111113V. Matviichuk32118941
WSep 15 · 08:00M. Zavoloka341112113V. Matviichuk2691070
WSep 8 · 09:00M. Zavoloka3611113113V. Matviichuk35691191
LAug 25 · 09:00M. Zavoloka51111111992V. Matviichuk44133611113
WAug 24 · 09:00M. Zavoloka51911911113V. Matviichuk3511311642
LJul 8 · 09:00M. Zavoloka429111391V. Matviichuk46111311113
WJul 8 · 06:30M. Zavoloka53118911143V. Matviichuk51811119122
LJul 7 · 07:00M. Zavoloka4012541362V. Matviichuk5410111111113
LJun 29 · 10:28M. Zavoloka248790V. Matviichuk331111113
LJun 29 · 07:00M. Zavoloka4611117982V. Matviichuk50981111113
M. Zavoloka10
WSep 22 · 06:30M. Zavoloka1.171113113V. Hyriavyi4.5081190LSep 17 · 09:59M. Zavoloka2.10391181V. Kurliuk1.6711117113WSep 17 · 09:00V. Matviichuk2.63118941M. Zavoloka1.4451111113LSep 17 · 07:30V. Simchuk1.401111113M. Zavoloka2.756840WSep 17 · 06:00S. Honcharenko1.837990M. Zavoloka1.831111113LSep 17 · 05:00V. Kurliuk2.251111113M. Zavoloka1.575870LSep 16 · 09:59S. Honcharenko2.2011811123M. Zavoloka1.619113101LSep 16 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.9111811113M. Zavoloka1.80411661LSep 16 · 07:30M. Zavoloka1.36610121162S. Honcharenko3.001112104113WSep 16 · 06:30O. Badanin2.63511111132M. Zavoloka1.44119713113
V. Matviichuk10
WSep 22 · 06:00S. Honcharenko1.539111161V. Matviichuk2.3811313113LSep 20 · 16:59V. Matviichuk1.44117691A. Danylov2.6371111113LSep 20 · 16:00V. Matviichuk1.804870S. Zherykhin1.911111113WSep 20 · 15:00A. Danylov2.7571590V. Matviichuk1.401117113WSep 20 · 14:00A. Lysyi1.91770V. Matviichuk1.8011112LSep 20 · 12:30V. Hyriavyi2.7517121193V. Matviichuk1.401910781LSep 17 · 09:00V. Matviichuk2.63118941M. Zavoloka1.4451111113LSep 17 · 08:00V. Kurliuk1.3011117113V. Matviichuk3.40741161LSep 17 · 07:00S. Honcharenko1.4411156123V. Matviichuk2.6381311101LSep 17 · 05:30V. Simchuk1.361311113V. Matviichuk3.0011570
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